Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Criciuma

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 21:00 UTC

Score final : Clube de Regatas Brasil 2–1 Criciuma

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prévision 40.80%2.45cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.45%40.79%40.92%42.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.122.252.252.3947.17%44.53%44.44%41.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Criciuma (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.80%3.47cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -0.788%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.37%28.81%28.80%30.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.203.3833.33%31.42%31.25%29.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.41%3.29cote équitable
EV -3.61%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.16%30.40%30.28%31.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.023.003.1734.72%33.16%33.33%31.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local) : 40.80% ; Criciuma (Visiteur) : 28.80% ; Match nul : 30.41%. Pour Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.45. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.39, pour une espérance de -2.50% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.27%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.48%EV -2.66%E -0.788%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -6.35%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 20:50
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.49%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.99%EV -13.03%E -4.31%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.52%EV -3.61%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.97%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.97%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 20:55
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.10%EV -5.76%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.41%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 20:40
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -9.29%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 20:55
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 20:45
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 20:45
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.41%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 20:35
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.85%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 20:48
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.85%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 20:54
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.61%E -4.54%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 20:50
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 20:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 20:50
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 20:55
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 20:55
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 20:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 20:55
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 20:35
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -7.85%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -12.43%E -4.32%K -6.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -7.85%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -12.43%E -4.32%K -6.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 20:50
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.61%E -4.54%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 20:35
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.61%E -4.54%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 20:55
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.61%E -4.54%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -10.25%E -4.66%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.41%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 20:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -10.25%E -4.66%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.41%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 20:40
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.25%E -4.66%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.41%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 20:40
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.25%E -4.66%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.41%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 20:40
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.25%E -4.66%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:44
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.25%E -4.66%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 12:29
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -11.07%E -5.08%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.85%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 20:40
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.25%EV -11.47%E -5.29%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -9.29%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.36%EV -11.88%E -5.50%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -9.29%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 20:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -12.29%E -5.72%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.29%E -5.72%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.29%E -5.72%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 17:45
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.29%E -5.72%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 17:45
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.29%E -5.72%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 17:44
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.09%EV -12.29%E -5.72%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -12.17%E -3.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.95%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 20:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -13.51%E -6.37%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -13.51%E -6.37%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 20:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-08-30 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-08-30 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-08-30 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-08-30 20:45
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.26%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%2.6%2026-08-30 20:35