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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Ceará v Grêmio Novorizontino

Inizio: 2026-09-18 23:30 UTC

Finale: Ceará 2–1 Grêmio Novorizontino

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

43 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ceará (Casa)

Previsione 34.55%2.89quota equa
EV +0.199%
Vantaggio +0.068%
Kelly +0.105%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.29%34.42%34.56%35.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.692.692.9040.00%37.13%37.17%34.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.18%2.76quota equa
EV -4.49%
Vantaggio -1.70%
Kelly -2.74%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.60%36.35%36.23%39.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.502.502.6442.55%39.96%40.00%37.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.27%3.42quota equa
EV -3.40%
Vantaggio -1.03%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.32%29.23%29.22%29.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.143.123.3033.33%31.82%32.05%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ceará (Casa): 34.55%; Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta): 36.18%; Pareggio: 29.27%. Per Ceará (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.89. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.90, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.199%.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV +0.199%E +0.068%K +0.105%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -13.90%E -5.84%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 13:25
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.25%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.59%EV -4.86%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 14:10
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -10.28%E -4.15%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:00
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -10.28%E -4.15%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 13:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -10.28%E -4.15%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -10.28%E -4.15%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:00
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -10.28%E -4.15%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -10.28%E -4.15%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -10.28%E -4.15%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -14.99%E -6.38%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 14:49
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 11:54
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -12.09%E -4.98%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -6.02%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.60%EV -4.49%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 13:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -6.02%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.60%EV -4.49%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 13:20
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 14:10
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 09:54
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 13:19
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.49%EV -8.47%E -3.35%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 14:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.12%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.57%EV -13.90%E -5.84%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32%EV -10.72%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 13:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.12%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.57%EV -13.90%E -5.84%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32%EV -10.72%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.12%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.57%EV -13.90%E -5.84%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32%EV -10.72%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 13:59
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.25%EV -8.11%E -3.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.51%EV -8.67%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.25%EV -8.11%E -3.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.51%EV -8.67%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.94%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 10:30
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 09:54
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 09:54
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:30
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 11:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.75%E -3.04%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -13.90%E -5.84%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -10.72%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 13:59
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.63%EV -14.99%E -6.38%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.72%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.48%E -3.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 09:54
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.48%E -3.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 11:55
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.48%E -3.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.48%E -3.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.48%E -3.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 11:54
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.48%E -3.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:13
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.48%E -3.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:15
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 09:54
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 09:54
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.56%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 13:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.62%E -5.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -13.18%E -5.49%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.26%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-18 13:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.05%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%1.3%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.05%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%1.3%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.05%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%1.3%2026-09-18 14:45
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-09-18 15:30
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-09-18 15:30