L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Ceará v Atletico Goianiense
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ceará (Local)
Prévision 46.85%2.13cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -3.78%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.40%47.18%46.70%50.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.931.952.0555.56%51.90%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Atletico Goianiense (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.75%4.40cote équitable
EV +2.38%
Avantage +0.528%
Kelly +0.679%
Croissance +0.016%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.06%22.52%22.88%23.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.174.204.5026.67%23.98%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.40%3.29cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.366%
Kelly -0.528%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.70%30.30%30.42%31.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.073.093.2534.72%32.53%32.36%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV +2.38%E +0.528%K +0.679%G +0.016% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -10.31%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 21:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -6.78%E -3.41%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.46%EV +1.92%E +0.429%K +0.552%G +0.011% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.23%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 21:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -12.40%E -6.63%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 21:48 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -1.04%E -0.238%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -2.71%E -0.847%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -1.49%E -0.344%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -7.71%E -3.92%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -7.71%E -3.92%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.97%EV -14.74%E -8.10%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -3.31%E -0.779%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -3.31%E -0.779%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -3.31%E -0.779%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| BetUS | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%EV -7.71%E -3.92%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Bovada | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.92%EV -7.71%E -3.92%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.59%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -6.78%E -3.41%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.84%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.23%EV -6.05%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.86%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.86%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -2.71%E -0.847%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.66%EV -8.18%E -4.17%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -13.55%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -14.69%E -3.92%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.20% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |