La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ceará v Atletico Goianiense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ceará (Local)
Predicción 46.85%2.13momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -3.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.40%47.18%46.70%50.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.931.952.0555.56%51.90%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atletico Goianiense (Visitante)
Predicción 22.75%4.40momio equitativo
EV +2.38%
Ventaja +0.528%
Kelly +0.679%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.06%22.52%22.88%23.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.174.204.5026.67%23.98%23.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.40%3.29momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.366%
Kelly -0.528%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.70%30.30%30.42%31.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.073.093.2534.72%32.53%32.36%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV +2.38%E +0.528%K +0.679%G +0.016% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -10.31%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 21:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -6.78%E -3.41%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.46%EV +1.92%E +0.429%K +0.552%G +0.011% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.23%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 21:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -12.40%E -6.63%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 21:48 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -1.04%E -0.238%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -2.71%E -0.847%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -1.49%E -0.344%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -7.71%E -3.92%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -7.71%E -3.92%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.97%EV -14.74%E -8.10%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -3.31%E -0.779%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -3.31%E -0.779%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -3.31%E -0.779%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| BetUS | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%EV -7.71%E -3.92%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Bovada | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.92%EV -7.71%E -3.92%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.59%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -6.78%E -3.41%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.84%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.23%EV -6.05%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.86%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.86%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -2.71%E -0.847%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.66%EV -8.18%E -4.17%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -13.55%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -14.69%E -3.92%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.20% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |