مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Ceará v Atletico Goianiense
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Ceará (المضيف)
التنبؤ 46.85%2.13السعر العادل
EV -3.97%
الأفضلية -1.93%
Kelly -3.78%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.40%47.18%46.70%50.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.931.952.0555.56%51.90%51.28%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Atletico Goianiense (الضيف)
التنبؤ 22.75%4.40السعر العادل
EV +2.38%
الأفضلية +0.528%
Kelly +0.679%
النمو +0.016%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.06%22.52%22.88%23.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.174.204.5026.67%23.98%23.81%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 30.40%3.29السعر العادل
EV -1.19%
الأفضلية -0.366%
Kelly -0.528%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.70%30.30%30.42%31.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.073.093.2534.72%32.53%32.36%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV +2.38%E +0.528%K +0.679%G +0.016% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -10.31%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 21:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -6.78%E -3.41%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.46%EV +1.92%E +0.429%K +0.552%G +0.011% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.23%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 21:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -11.93%E -6.35%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -12.40%E -6.63%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -1.19%E -0.366%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 21:48 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV +0.102%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -1.04%E -0.238%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -2.71%E -0.847%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -1.49%E -0.344%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -7.71%E -3.92%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -7.71%E -3.92%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -14.27%E -7.80%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.97%EV -14.74%E -8.10%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -3.31%E -0.779%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -3.31%E -0.779%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -15.68%E -8.71%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -3.31%E -0.779%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| BetUS | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%EV -7.71%E -3.92%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Bovada | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.92%EV -7.71%E -3.92%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.59%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -6.78%E -3.41%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.84%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.23%EV -6.05%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.86%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.86%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -2.71%E -0.847%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.66%EV -8.18%E -4.17%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -13.55%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -14.69%E -3.92%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.20% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |