Language:English
Botafogo-SP v Vila Nova
Head to Head
Botafogo-SP (Local)
Prediction 37.85%2.64fair odd
EV -7.27%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -5.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.64%37.85%37.85%38.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.412.452.4542.92%41.44%40.82%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vila Nova (Visit)
Prediction 31.87%3.14fair odd
EV -5.98%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.57%31.87%31.87%31.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.882.952.9535.71%34.67%33.90%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.28%3.30fair odd
EV -6.14%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.16%30.28%30.28%30.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.033.103.1034.48%32.99%32.26%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Botafogo-SP (Local): 37.85%; Vila Nova (Visit): 31.87%; Draw: 30.28%. For Vila Nova (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.95, with an expected value of -5.98%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 09:38 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 09:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 09:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 09:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 09:38 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 09:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 09:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.16%E -3.22%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-22 09:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.64%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 09:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.64%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 09:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.64%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 09:38 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -11.06%E -4.70%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-22 09:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.94%EV -11.81%E -5.07%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.57%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-22 09:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.