默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Botafogo-SP v Vila Nova

2026-10-03 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

胜负盘

13 家博彩公司 (1 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Botafogo-SP (主队)

预测 37.85%2.64公平赔率
EV -7.27%
优势 -2.97%
Kelly -5.01%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
37.64%37.85%37.85%38.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.332.412.452.4542.92%41.44%40.82%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Vila Nova (客队)

预测 31.87%3.14公平赔率
EV -5.98%
优势 -2.03%
Kelly -3.06%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.95

博彩公司预测分布
31.57%31.87%31.87%31.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.882.952.9535.71%34.67%33.90%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.28%3.30公平赔率
EV -6.14%
优势 -1.98%
Kelly -2.92%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
30.16%30.28%30.28%30.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.033.103.1034.48%32.99%32.26%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Botafogo-SP (主队):37.85%;Vila Nova (客队):31.87%;平局:30.28%。 对于“Vila Nova (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.14。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为2.95,期望值为-5.98%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (13 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 09:38
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 09:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 09:39
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 09:38
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 09:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 09:39
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.16%E -3.22%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-22 09:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.64%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-22 09:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.64%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-22 09:39
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.64%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-22 09:38
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -11.06%E -4.70%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-22 09:38
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.94%EV -11.81%E -5.07%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.57%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-22 09:38
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。