The School of Odds

Avai v Nautico PE

2026-07-12 19:00 — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Option 1: Avai (Local)

Odds
2.4540.82%Min
2.5539.24%Mean
2.6038.46%Median
2.6038.46%Max
Consensus probabilities
35.61%2.808Min
35.85%2.789Max
35.66%2.805Mean
35.66%2.805Median
35.66%2.805IQM
35.66%2.805Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.60 under the IQM model: 35.66%

EV -7.30%Edge -2.81%Kelly -4.56%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Nautico PE (Visit)

Odds
2.4041.67%Min
2.5039.99%Mean
2.5539.22%Median
2.5539.22%Max
Consensus probabilities
36.14%2.767Min
36.48%2.741Max
36.37%2.750Mean
36.37%2.750Median
36.37%2.750IQM
36.37%2.750Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.55 under the IQM model: 36.37%

EV -7.26%Edge -2.85%Kelly -4.68%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.1531.75%Min
3.2730.55%Mean
3.3529.85%Median
3.3529.85%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.76%3.602Min
28.04%3.566Max
27.98%3.575Mean
27.98%3.575Median
27.98%3.575IQM
27.98%3.575Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.35 under the IQM model: 27.98%

EV -6.28%Edge -1.87%Kelly -2.67%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAvai (Local) ▼Nautico PE (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet2.60I 38.46% NM 35.77%EV -7.30% E -2.81% K -4.56% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.47%EV -7.26% E -2.85% K -4.68% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.76%EV -6.28% E -1.87% K -2.67% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46% NM 35.77%EV -7.30% E -2.81% K -4.56% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.47%EV -7.26% E -2.85% K -4.68% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.76%EV -6.28% E -1.87% K -2.67% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 19:45
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46% NM 35.77%EV -7.30% E -2.81% K -4.56% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.47%EV -7.26% E -2.85% K -4.68% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.76%EV -6.28% E -1.87% K -2.67% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 19:45
Casumo2.60I 38.46% NM 35.77%EV -7.30% E -2.81% K -4.56% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.47%EV -7.26% E -2.85% K -4.68% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.76%EV -6.28% E -1.87% K -2.67% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 19:45
betPARX2.60I 38.46% NM 35.77%EV -7.30% E -2.81% K -4.56% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.47%EV -7.26% E -2.85% K -4.68% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.76%EV -6.28% E -1.87% K -2.67% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 19:44
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46% NM 35.77%EV -7.30% E -2.81% K -4.56% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.47%EV -7.26% E -2.85% K -4.68% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.76%EV -6.28% E -1.87% K -2.67% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 19:45
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46% NM 35.77%EV -7.30% E -2.81% K -4.56% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.47%EV -7.26% E -2.85% K -4.68% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.76%EV -6.28% E -1.87% K -2.67% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 19:45
BetRivers2.55I 39.22% NM 35.66%EV -9.08% E -3.56% K -5.86% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.37%EV -9.08% E -3.63% K -6.05% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.98%EV -9.08% E -2.79% K -4.03% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 19:44
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00% NM 35.85%EV -10.86% E -4.34% K -7.24% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 36.14%EV -9.81% E -3.95% K -6.63% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.01%EV -10.48% E -3.27% K -4.76% G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-05 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00% NM 35.69%EV -10.86% E -4.34% K -7.24% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 36.42%EV -10.90% E -4.45% K -7.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.89%EV -10.48% E -3.27% K -4.76% G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-05 19:44
TABtouch2.48I 40.32% NM 35.61%EV -11.57% E -4.67% K -7.82% G +0.000%2.43I 41.15% NM 36.35%EV -11.62% E -4.78% K -8.13% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.04%EV -11.88% E -3.77% K -5.52% G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-05 19:44
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82% NM 35.73%EV -12.64% E -5.16% K -8.72% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 36.48%EV -12.72% E -5.30% K -9.08% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 27.79%EV -11.88% E -3.77% K -5.52% G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-05 19:44
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82% NM 35.73%EV -12.64% E -5.16% K -8.72% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 36.48%EV -12.72% E -5.30% K -9.08% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 27.79%EV -11.88% E -3.77% K -5.52% G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-05 19:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth