L’École des cotesFrançais
Avai v Nautico PE
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Avai (Local)
Prévision 39.39%2.54cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.614%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.05%39.34%39.45%41.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.342.352.5046.51%42.65%42.46%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Nautico PE (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.29%3.20cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -0.965%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.32%31.38%31.37%33.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.932.923.1036.36%34.12%34.31%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.32%3.41cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -0.982%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.74%29.28%29.18%30.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.103.103.3034.48%32.27%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -1.54%E -0.614%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 18:39 |
| BetUS | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.94%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-12 18:39 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.75%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.75%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -7.05%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -2.99%E -0.965%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -7.05%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -2.99%E -0.965%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.85%EV -7.05%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -7.44%E -3.17%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.56%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.44%E -3.17%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.44%E -3.17%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.55%EV -8.00%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -7.44%E -3.17%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -8.31%E -2.84%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-12 18:53 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.44%E -3.17%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -7.44%E -3.17%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.44%E -3.17%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -8.23%E -3.53%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.02%EV -5.81%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.91%EV -5.29%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 18:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -10.82%E -3.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -10.82%E -3.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -10.20%E -4.47%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.82%E -3.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -4.56%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -3.24%E -0.982%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -3.24%E -0.982%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| betano_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.05%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.88%EV -8.52%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-12 18:53 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -14.97%E -5.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -14.97%E -5.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -13.35%E -6.07%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -15.32%E -7.13%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-07-12 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |