Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.66
assuming max odds 2.86
assuming max odds 3.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avai (Local): 36.76%; Juventude (Visit): 33.75%; Draw: 29.49%. For Avai (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.66, with an expected value of -2.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.18%EV -2.22%E -0.833%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.65%EV -3.47%E -1.21%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.17%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -2.58%E -0.975%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -10.56%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -3.69%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -12.24%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 18:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -10.36%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.41%EV -6.99%E -2.76%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.38%EV -6.84%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.06%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.41%EV -6.99%E -2.76%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.38%EV -6.84%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.06%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -7.36%E -2.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -8.19%E -3.01%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -7.36%E -2.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -8.19%E -3.01%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 18:57 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -15.62%E -6.25%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -19.00%E -7.91%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -17.44%E -6.23%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -8.83%E -3.56%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.56%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -10.56%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.56%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-22 18:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -15.96%E -5.60%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.74%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.22%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.74%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.22%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.74%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.22%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -11.77%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -2.69%E -0.816%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.62%EV -11.77%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.94%EV -8.00%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-22 18:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.77%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.77%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.77%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.77%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 37.92%EV -12.14%E -5.08%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.32%EV -8.19%E -3.01%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 37.92%EV -12.14%E -5.08%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.32%EV -8.19%E -3.01%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.80% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.32% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.71% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.98% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.98% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.90% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.13% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.97% | 2.7% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.81% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.28% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.90% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |