La escuela de los momios

Avai v Juventude

Inicio: 2026-03-22 19:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Avai (Local)

Predicción 36.76%2.72momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.833%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.08%36.72%36.61%38.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.392.502.502.6641.84%39.98%40.00%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Juventude (Visitante)

Predicción 33.75%2.96momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.61%33.74%33.81%35.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.702.722.8641.67%37.00%36.76%34.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.49%3.39momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -0.816%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.80%29.54%29.58%31.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.113.103.3035.71%32.12%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.18%EV -2.22%E -0.833%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.65%EV -3.47%E -1.21%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.17%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 18:59
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -2.58%E -0.975%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -10.56%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 18:59
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -3.69%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 19:00
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -12.24%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:00
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 18:48
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -10.36%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.26%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:59
Bovada2.53I 39.53%NM 36.41%EV -6.99%E -2.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.38%EV -6.84%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.06%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 18:59
BetUS2.53I 39.53%NM 36.41%EV -6.99%E -2.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.38%EV -6.84%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.06%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 19:00
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -7.36%E -2.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -8.19%E -3.01%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -7.36%E -2.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -8.19%E -3.01%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 18:59
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 18:59
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 19:00
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 19:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 18:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 18:59
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 18:59
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 18:57
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -15.62%E -6.25%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -19.00%E -7.91%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -17.44%E -6.23%K -9.69%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-22 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -8.83%E -3.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 19:00
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -10.56%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 19:00
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 18:59
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.56%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 18:58
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -15.96%E -5.60%K -8.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.74%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.22%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.74%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.22%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 19:00
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.74%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.22%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 19:00
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -11.77%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -2.69%E -0.816%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.62%EV -11.77%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.94%EV -8.00%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 18:58
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.77%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 18:59
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.77%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.77%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 19:00
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.77%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 19:00
LowVig.ag2.39I 41.84%NM 37.92%EV -12.14%E -5.08%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.32%EV -8.19%E -3.01%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.39I 41.84%NM 37.92%EV -12.14%E -5.08%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.32%EV -8.19%E -3.01%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.80%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.32%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.71%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.98%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.98%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%2.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 36.90%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.97%2.7%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 36.81%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.90%2.9%2026-03-22 19:00