Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Avai v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Kickoff: 2026-08-11 22:30 UTC

Final: Avai 0–1 Clube de Regatas Brasil

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Avai (Local)

Prediction 35.83%2.79fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.45%35.88%35.88%38.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.582.602.7042.55%38.71%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit)

Prediction 33.54%2.98fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.941%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.62%33.49%33.44%35.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.702.702.9040.32%37.03%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.63%3.26fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.68%30.63%30.68%31.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.013.003.1334.72%33.26%33.33%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avai (Local): 35.83%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit): 33.54%; Draw: 30.63%. For Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -2.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -9.64%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 22:05
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -9.64%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 22:03
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 22:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 22:04
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 22:05
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 22:04
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.84%EV -3.62%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.36%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.80%EV -4.13%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 22:20
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-11 22:23
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -5.77%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.28%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-11 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -5.77%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -11.79%E -4.09%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-11 22:20
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -8.77%E -3.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 22:15
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -8.77%E -3.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 22:14
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -11.79%E -4.09%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-11 22:04
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 22:25
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 22:24
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 22:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 22:14
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 22:20
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.92%EV -7.56%E -2.93%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.99%EV -8.42%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 22:25
Bovada🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.78%EV -7.56%E -2.93%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.45%EV -7.42%E -2.69%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 22:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -8.28%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -8.28%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 22:23
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 22:24
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 22:23
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 22:24
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-11 22:15
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.09%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.09%EV -14.47%E -5.67%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-11 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -16.15%E -6.46%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -9.64%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-11 22:25
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -16.15%E -6.46%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -9.64%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-11 22:04
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-11 22:25
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-11 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-11 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-11 22:14
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-11 22:14
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-11 22:25
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-11 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.02%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.30%EV -16.82%E -6.78%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -9.64%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-11 22:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.02%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.30%EV -16.82%E -6.78%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -9.64%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-11 22:25
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.22%E -4.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 22:24
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.22%E -4.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -15.80%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-11 22:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-08-11 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-08-11 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-08-11 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-08-11 22:25
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-08-11 22:25

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