Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Avai v Clube de Regatas Brasil

2026-08-11 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

37%

35%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Avai (Local)

Prediction 36.85%2.71fair odd

EV -6.41%

Edge -2.53%

Kelly -4.16%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.49%36.95%36.85%37.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.402.472.452.5441.67%40.56%40.82%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit)

Prediction 34.64%2.89fair odd

EV -5.77%

Edge -2.12%

Kelly -3.35%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.94%34.61%34.64%35.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.662.672.7240.00%37.66%37.45%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.51%3.51fair odd

EV -4.49%

Edge -1.34%

Kelly -1.91%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.72%28.45%28.51%29.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.103.223.223.3532.26%31.10%31.06%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.54I 39.37%NM 36.49%EV -6.41%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -7.50%E -2.81%K -4.49%G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -8.19%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-29 19:33
Marathon Bet	2.54I 39.37%NM 36.49%EV -6.41%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -7.50%E -2.81%K -4.49%G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -8.19%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-29 19:25
Betsson	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -8.62%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -5.77%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-29 13:55
NordicBet	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -8.62%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -5.77%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -8.76%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-29 13:55
SportsBet	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -4.49%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-07-29 13:54
FanDuel	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.91%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-07-29 13:58
LeoVegas	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-07-29 13:54
Paddy Power	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -11.57%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -9.23%E -3.52%K -5.70%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.34%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-07-29 14:05
BoyleSports	2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -11.57%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.39%E -5.36%K -8.93%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%	13.9%	2026-07-29 15:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.