Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Avai v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Início: 2026-08-11 22:30 UTC

Final: Avai 0–1 Clube de Regatas Brasil

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Avai (Local)

Previsão 35.83%2.79odd justa
EV -3.26%
Vantagem -1.21%
Kelly -1.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.45%35.88%35.88%38.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.582.602.7042.55%38.71%38.46%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visitante)

Previsão 33.54%2.98odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -0.941%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.62%33.49%33.44%35.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.482.702.702.9040.32%37.03%37.04%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.63%3.26odd justa
EV -4.13%
Vantagem -1.32%
Kelly -1.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.68%30.63%30.68%31.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.013.003.1334.72%33.26%33.33%31.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Avai (Local): 35.83%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visitante): 33.54%; Empate: 30.63%. Para Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.98. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.90, com valor esperado de -2.73%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -9.64%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 22:05
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -9.64%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 22:03
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 22:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 22:04
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 22:05
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 22:04
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.84%EV -3.62%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.36%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.80%EV -4.13%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 22:20
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-11 22:23
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -5.77%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.28%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-11 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -5.77%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -11.79%E -4.09%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-11 22:20
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -8.77%E -3.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 22:15
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -8.77%E -3.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 22:14
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -11.79%E -4.09%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-11 22:04
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 22:25
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 22:24
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 22:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 22:14
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 22:20
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.92%EV -7.56%E -2.93%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.99%EV -8.42%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 22:25
Bovada🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.78%EV -7.56%E -2.93%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.45%EV -7.42%E -2.69%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 22:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -8.28%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -8.28%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 22:23
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 22:24
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 22:23
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 22:24
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-11 22:15
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.09%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.09%EV -14.47%E -5.67%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-11 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -16.15%E -6.46%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -9.64%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-11 22:25
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -16.15%E -6.46%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -9.64%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-11 22:04
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-11 22:25
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-11 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-11 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-11 22:14
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-11 22:14
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-11 22:25
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-11 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.02%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.30%EV -16.82%E -6.78%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -9.64%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-11 22:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.02%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.30%EV -16.82%E -6.78%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -9.64%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-11 22:25
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.22%E -4.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 22:24
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.22%E -4.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -15.80%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.11%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-11 22:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-08-11 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-08-11 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-08-11 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-08-11 22:25
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-08-11 22:25