La escuela de los momiosAvai v América Mineiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Avai (Local)
Predicción 41.12%2.43momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -2.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.86%41.16%41.15%44.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.222.212.3448.78%45.02%45.25%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
América Mineiro (Visitante)
Predicción 28.09%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.320%
Kelly -0.448%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.81%28.08%28.02%30.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.273.253.5233.33%30.55%30.77%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.79%3.25momio equitativo
EV -4.55%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.58%30.76%30.82%32.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.982.983.1035.71%33.59%33.61%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.16%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.36%EV -1.13%E -0.320%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.48%EV -5.78%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.64%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.64%EV -8.25%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.64%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.64%EV -8.25%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.09%E -0.897%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 22:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 22:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -15.73%E -5.24%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.02%EV -7.07%E -3.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -6.18%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.22%EV -8.55%E -2.88%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 22:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 21:20 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 21:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-21 20:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-21 20:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-21 20:15 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.99%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -9.78%E -3.34%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 22:09 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.99%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -9.78%E -3.34%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-21 22:10 |
| betano_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -8.71%E -3.92%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-21 20:15 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-21 20:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-21 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-21 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 21:35 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 21:35 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.79%E -4.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.79%E -4.92%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -11.59%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-21 22:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.59%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.21%EV -12.82%E -6.05%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-21 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.00%EV -12.82%E -6.05%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -13.65%E -6.50%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-21 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.06%EV -14.47%E -6.96%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.17%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.06%EV -14.47%E -6.96%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.17%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -15.70%E -7.66%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -1.69%E -0.483%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-21 21:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05% | 0.6% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 1.7% | 2026-07-21 22:30 |