مدرسة الاحتمالات

Avai v América Mineiro

البداية: 2026-07-21 22:32 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Avai 2–1 América Mineiro

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Avai (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.12%2.43السعر العادل
EV -3.78%
الأفضلية -1.61%
Kelly -2.82%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.34

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.86%41.16%41.15%44.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.222.212.3448.78%45.02%45.25%42.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

América Mineiro (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.09%3.56السعر العادل
EV -1.13%
الأفضلية -0.320%
Kelly -0.448%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.52

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.81%28.08%28.02%30.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.273.253.5233.33%30.55%30.77%28.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.79%3.25السعر العادل
EV -4.55%
الأفضلية -1.47%
Kelly -2.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.58%30.76%30.82%32.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.802.982.983.1035.71%33.59%33.61%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.16%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.36%EV -1.13%E -0.320%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.48%EV -5.78%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-21 22:20
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.64%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.64%EV -8.25%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 22:25
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.64%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.64%EV -8.25%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 22:25
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 22:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.09%E -0.897%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 22:30
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 22:30
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 22:10
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 22:05
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 22:05
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -15.73%E -5.24%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 22:30
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.02%EV -7.07%E -3.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -6.18%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.22%EV -8.55%E -2.88%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 22:29
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 21:35
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 22:30
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 20:15
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 20:15
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 20:15
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.99%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -9.78%E -3.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 22:09
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.99%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -9.78%E -3.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 22:15
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 22:30
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 22:10
betano_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 22:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 22:20
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -8.71%E -3.92%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 20:15
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 22:30
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 22:30
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 22:30
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 22:30
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 22:30
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 22:30
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 22:30
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 20:00
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 21:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-21 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 21:35
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 21:35
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 21:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.79%E -4.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.79%E -4.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 22:30
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -11.59%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 22:10
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.59%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-21 22:25
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 42.21%EV -12.82%E -6.05%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.00%EV -12.82%E -6.05%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-21 22:30
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -13.65%E -6.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-21 21:45
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.06%EV -14.47%E -6.96%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.17%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-21 22:30
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.06%EV -14.47%E -6.96%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.17%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-21 22:30
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -15.70%E -7.66%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -1.69%E -0.483%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 21:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-07-21 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-07-21 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%0.6%2026-07-21 22:30
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-07-21 22:30
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%1.7%2026-07-21 22:30