Langue:Français
Atletico Goianiense v Vila Nova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prévision 47.42%2.11cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -3.63%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.03
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.07%47.40%47.52%49.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.941.952.0354.64%51.54%51.28%49.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Vila Nova (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.36%4.28cote équitable
EV +0.685%
Avantage +0.159%
Kelly +0.207%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.51%23.30%23.23%24.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.873.804.3128.17%25.83%26.32%23.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.22%3.42cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.364%
Kelly -0.517%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.67%29.30%29.25%30.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.133.103.3833.33%31.93%32.26%29.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atletico Goianiense (Local) : 47.42% ; Vila Nova (Visiteur) : 23.36% ; Match nul : 29.22%. Pour Vila Nova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.28. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.31, soit une espérance positive de +0.685%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.36%EV -3.74%E -1.84%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.31%EV +0.685%E +0.159%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -7.37%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.03%EV -5.64%E -2.83%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -1.89%E -0.449%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -10.87%E -3.57%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.16%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -1.89%E -0.449%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -10.87%E -3.57%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.16%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -1.89%E -0.449%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -10.87%E -3.57%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.16%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -1.89%E -0.449%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -10.87%E -3.57%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -1.89%E -0.449%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -13.23%E -7.23%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -1.89%E -0.449%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.22%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%EV -7.06%E -3.60%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.22%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.95%EV -8.48%E -4.40%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -8.96%E -4.67%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 07:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63%EV -8.96%E -4.67%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63%EV -8.96%E -4.67%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.89%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.89%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.22%EV -8.01%E -4.13%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.11%EV -9.36%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -1.23%E -0.364%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -10.06%E -2.61%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -10.06%E -2.61%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -6.59%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -6.59%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -6.59%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.07%EV -6.59%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.07%EV -6.59%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.07%EV -6.59%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 18:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 18:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -9.91%E -5.21%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:57 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -11.33%E -6.06%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-10 13:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -13.57%E -3.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.57%E -3.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.57%E -3.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.57%E -3.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.57%E -3.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -14.73%E -4.04%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.61%EV -8.96%E -4.67%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -14.73%E -4.04%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.90%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -15.90%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.63%EV -10.38%E -5.49%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -15.90%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -10.87%E -3.57%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.60%EV -10.85%E -5.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -17.07%E -4.81%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -10.87%E -3.57%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.60%EV -10.85%E -5.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -17.07%E -4.81%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -10.87%E -3.57%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.35% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.17% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |