Idioma:Español
Atletico Goianiense v Vila Nova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Predicción 47.42%2.11momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -3.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.07%47.40%47.52%49.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.941.952.0354.64%51.54%51.28%49.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Vila Nova (Visitante)
Predicción 23.36%4.28momio equitativo
EV +0.685%
Ventaja +0.159%
Kelly +0.207%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.51%23.30%23.23%24.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.553.873.804.3128.17%25.83%26.32%23.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.22%3.42momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.364%
Kelly -0.517%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.67%29.30%29.25%30.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.133.103.3833.33%31.93%32.26%29.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 47.42%; Vila Nova (Visitante): 23.36%; Empate: 29.22%. Para Vila Nova (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.28. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.31, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.685%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.36%EV -3.74%E -1.84%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.31%EV +0.685%E +0.159%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -7.37%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.03%EV -5.64%E -2.83%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -1.89%E -0.449%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -10.87%E -3.57%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.16%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -1.89%E -0.449%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -10.87%E -3.57%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.16%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -1.89%E -0.449%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -10.87%E -3.57%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.16%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -1.89%E -0.449%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -10.87%E -3.57%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -1.89%E -0.449%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -13.23%E -7.23%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -1.89%E -0.449%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.22%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%EV -7.06%E -3.60%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.22%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.95%EV -8.48%E -4.40%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -8.96%E -4.67%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 07:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63%EV -8.96%E -4.67%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63%EV -8.96%E -4.67%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.89%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.89%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.22%EV -8.01%E -4.13%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.11%EV -9.36%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -1.23%E -0.364%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -10.06%E -2.61%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -10.06%E -2.61%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -12.33%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -6.11%E -3.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -6.59%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -6.59%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -6.59%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.07%EV -6.59%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.07%EV -6.59%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.07%EV -6.59%E -3.34%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 18:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 18:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -9.91%E -5.21%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:57 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -11.33%E -6.06%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.23%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-10 13:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -13.57%E -3.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.57%E -3.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.57%E -3.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.57%E -3.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.57%E -3.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -14.73%E -4.04%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.61%EV -8.96%E -4.67%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -14.73%E -4.04%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.54%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.90%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -15.90%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.63%EV -10.38%E -5.49%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -15.90%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -10.87%E -3.57%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.60%EV -10.85%E -5.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -17.07%E -4.81%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -10.87%E -3.57%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.60%EV -10.85%E -5.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -17.07%E -4.81%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -10.87%E -3.57%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.35% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.17% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |