Language:English
Atletico Goianiense v Londrina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prediction 46.12%2.17fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.39%46.21%45.96%48.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.012.022.0854.05%49.67%49.50%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Londrina (Visit)
Prediction 24.25%4.12fair odd
EV +4.03%
Edge +0.940%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 4.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.03%24.05%24.28%25.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.813.774.2927.78%26.27%26.49%23.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.63%3.37fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.52%29.74%29.76%31.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.38%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 46.12%; Londrina (Visit): 24.25%; Draw: 29.63%. For Londrina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.29, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.93%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.43%EV +4.03%E +0.940%K +1.23%G +0.049% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.64%EV -6.95%E -2.21%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -0.576%E -0.140%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -0.576%E -0.140%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 23:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -14.68%E -7.94%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -0.576%E -0.140%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -9.61%E -4.90%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -3.00%E -0.750%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 23:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -8.69%E -4.39%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -3.00%E -0.750%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 23:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -10.07%E -5.17%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -3.00%E -0.750%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.01%EV -8.23%E -4.13%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.57%EV -3.73%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.42%EV -5.76%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.21%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.64%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 23:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.85%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 23:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.80%EV -6.84%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.85%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.80%EV -6.84%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.85%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.80%EV -6.84%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.85%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.17%EV -6.84%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -7.85%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.82%EV -12.28%E -4.15%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.17%EV -6.84%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -7.85%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.82%EV -12.28%E -4.15%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -9.06%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -9.06%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -9.06%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -9.06%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.06%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -4.54%E -2.19%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -10.07%E -5.17%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.11%EV -5.92%E -2.90%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.11%EV -5.92%E -2.90%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.70%E -3.53%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.70%E -3.53%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.98%EV -6.84%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -12.70%E -3.53%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.70%E -3.53%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.70%E -3.53%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.70%E -3.53%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.07%E -5.17%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.70%E -3.53%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 23:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.76% | 1.6% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |