L’École des cotesFrançais
Atletico Goianiense v Londrina
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prévision 46.12%2.17cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -3.78%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.39%46.21%45.96%48.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.012.022.0854.05%49.67%49.50%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Londrina (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.25%4.12cote équitable
EV +4.03%
Avantage +0.940%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.049%
avec la cote maximale 4.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.03%24.05%24.28%25.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.813.774.2927.78%26.27%26.49%23.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.63%3.37cote équitable
EV -3.69%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.52%29.74%29.76%31.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.38%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.93%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.43%EV +4.03%E +0.940%K +1.23%G +0.049% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.64%EV -6.95%E -2.21%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -0.576%E -0.140%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -0.576%E -0.140%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 23:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -14.68%E -7.94%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -0.576%E -0.140%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| BetUS | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -9.61%E -4.90%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -3.00%E -0.750%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 23:24 |
| Bovada | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -8.69%E -4.39%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -3.00%E -0.750%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 23:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -10.07%E -5.17%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -3.00%E -0.750%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.01%EV -8.23%E -4.13%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.57%EV -3.73%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.42%EV -5.76%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.21%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.64%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 23:24 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.85%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 23:24 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.80%EV -6.84%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.85%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.80%EV -6.84%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.85%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.80%EV -6.84%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.85%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.17%EV -6.84%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -7.85%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.82%EV -12.28%E -4.15%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.17%EV -6.84%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -7.85%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.82%EV -12.28%E -4.15%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -9.06%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -9.06%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -9.06%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -9.06%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.06%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -4.54%E -2.19%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -10.07%E -5.17%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.11%EV -5.92%E -2.90%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.11%EV -5.92%E -2.90%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.70%E -3.53%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.70%E -3.53%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.98%EV -6.84%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -12.70%E -3.53%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.70%E -3.53%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.70%E -3.53%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.70%E -3.53%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.07%E -5.17%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.70%E -3.53%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 23:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.76% | 1.6% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |