Language:English
Atletico Goianiense v Goiás
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prediction 39.23%2.55fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.13%39.37%39.15%42.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.282.302.4547.17%43.83%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Goiás (Visit)
Prediction 29.16%3.43fair odd
EV -0.846%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.352%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.35%29.03%29.22%29.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.11%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.61%3.16fair odd
EV -0.434%
Edge -0.138%
Kelly -0.202%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.78%31.60%31.63%33.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.952.923.1536.36%33.90%34.25%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 39.23%; Goiás (Visit): 29.16%; Draw: 31.61%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -0.434%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.92%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.37%EV -7.39%E -2.52%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 03:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.14%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-26 11:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -10.87%E -3.85%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-26 10:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -10.87%E -3.85%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-26 10:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -9.92%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -13.08%E -4.76%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 10:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -13.08%E -4.76%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 10:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -13.08%E -4.76%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 10:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -13.08%E -4.76%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 10:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.50%EV -6.24%E -2.61%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.14%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -9.92%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-26 03:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.64%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.14%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 10:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.81%E -3.32%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 10:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.20%EV -7.81%E -3.32%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.14%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -7.70%E -2.64%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 10:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.20%EV -7.81%E -3.32%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.14%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -7.70%E -2.64%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 10:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-25 10:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-25 10:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-26 10:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-26 11:57 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-25 10:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.51%E -4.17%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-26 00:08 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.51%E -4.17%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.97%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-26 10:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.51%E -4.17%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.50%E -4.11%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-25 10:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.92%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-25 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.97%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-25 10:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.97%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-25 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.28%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-25 10:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.28%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-25 10:18 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.434%E -0.138%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.434%E -0.138%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 22:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.434%E -0.138%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.434%E -0.138%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.434%E -0.138%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.434%E -0.138%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 22:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.434%E -0.138%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -2.01%E -0.650%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 22:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -14.87%E -6.85%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -2.30%E -0.688%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -15.66%E -7.28%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -2.30%E -0.688%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -16.05%E -7.50%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-24 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.83%E -7.94%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.83%E -7.94%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 22:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.83%E -7.94%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 22:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 11:58 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 11:58 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.31% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 11:56 |