La escuela de los momios

Atletico Goianiense v Goiás

Inicio: 2026-05-31 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atletico Goianiense (Local)

Predicción 39.23%2.55momio equitativo
EV -3.89%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -2.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.13%39.37%39.15%42.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.282.302.4547.17%43.83%43.48%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Goiás (Visitante)

Predicción 29.16%3.43momio equitativo
EV -0.846%
Ventaja -0.249%
Kelly -0.352%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.35%29.03%29.22%29.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.11%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.61%3.16momio equitativo
EV -0.434%
Ventaja -0.138%
Kelly -0.202%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.78%31.60%31.63%33.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.952.923.1536.36%33.90%34.25%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.92%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.37%EV -7.39%E -2.52%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 03:40
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.14%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 11:58
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -10.87%E -3.85%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 10:10
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -10.87%E -3.85%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 10:09
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -9.92%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 19:40
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -13.08%E -4.76%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 10:29
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -13.08%E -4.76%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 10:29
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -13.08%E -4.76%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 10:29
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -13.08%E -4.76%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 10:29
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 38.50%EV -6.24%E -2.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.14%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -9.92%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 03:48
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.64%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.14%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 10:19
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.81%E -3.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 10:59
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.20%EV -7.81%E -3.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.14%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -7.70%E -2.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 10:19
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.20%EV -7.81%E -3.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.14%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -7.70%E -2.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 10:19
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 10:20
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 10:19
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-26 10:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-26 11:57
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 10:19
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.51%E -4.17%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-26 00:08
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.51%E -4.17%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.97%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-26 10:58
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.77%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.51%E -4.17%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.50%E -4.11%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-25 10:20
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.92%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-25 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.97%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 10:19
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.97%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.28%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-25 10:19
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.59%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.28%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-25 10:18
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.434%E -0.138%K -0.202%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 22:10
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.434%E -0.138%K -0.202%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 22:10
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.434%E -0.138%K -0.202%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 22:10
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.434%E -0.138%K -0.202%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 22:10
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.434%E -0.138%K -0.202%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 22:10
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.434%E -0.138%K -0.202%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 22:10
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.434%E -0.138%K -0.202%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 22:10
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -0.846%E -0.249%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -2.01%E -0.650%K -0.959%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 22:09
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -14.87%E -6.85%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -2.30%E -0.688%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -15.66%E -7.28%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -2.30%E -0.688%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 22:10
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -16.05%E -7.50%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 22:10
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.83%E -7.94%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 22:10
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.83%E -7.94%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 22:10
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -16.83%E -7.94%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 22:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%6.8%2026-05-26 11:58
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%6.8%2026-05-26 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%6.8%2026-05-26 11:58
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.31%8.2%2026-05-26 11:56