Language:English
Atletico Goianiense v Criciuma
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prediction 38.90%2.57fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.83%38.96%38.81%41.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.362.372.4646.73%42.39%42.19%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Criciuma (Visit)
Prediction 30.73%3.25fair odd
EV -0.112%
Edge -0.035%
Kelly -0.050%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.33%30.59%30.78%32.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.013.003.2535.71%33.27%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.36%3.29fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.76%30.45%30.41%31.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.003.003.1635.09%33.37%33.33%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 38.90%; Criciuma (Visit): 30.73%; Draw: 30.36%. For Criciuma (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.254. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.250, with an expected value of -0.112%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.07%EV -4.30%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.07%EV -4.30%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.07%EV -4.30%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -2.26%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.46%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -6.25%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -7.49%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -5.57%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 18:51 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -7.41%E -3.12%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -11.48%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.41%E -3.12%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -13.94%E -4.98%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.06%EV -8.19%E -3.47%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 18:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.58%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -1.65%E -0.515%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -8.58%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.58%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -8.58%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -13.46%E -4.72%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.66%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -12.55%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -12.55%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.57%EV -10.14%E -4.39%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 18:33 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.55%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -11.48%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -14.42%E -6.55%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -1.65%E -0.515%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.43%E -3.53%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.51%EV -16.75%E -7.83%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -0.112%E -0.035%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -13.46%E -4.72%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 1.6% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67% | 1.9% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67% | 1.9% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67% | 1.9% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48% | 2.5% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |