Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atletico Goianiense v Criciuma

Inizio: 2026-09-13 19:00 UTC

Finale: Atletico Goianiense 4–0 Criciuma

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atletico Goianiense (Casa)

Previsione 38.90%2.57quota equa
EV -4.30%
Vantaggio -1.75%
Kelly -2.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.83%38.96%38.81%41.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.142.362.372.4646.73%42.39%42.19%40.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Criciuma (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.73%3.25quota equa
EV -0.112%
Vantaggio -0.035%
Kelly -0.050%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.33%30.59%30.78%32.16%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.013.003.2535.71%33.27%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 30.36%3.29quota equa
EV -4.05%
Vantaggio -1.28%
Kelly -1.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.76%30.45%30.41%31.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.003.003.1635.09%33.37%33.33%31.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Atletico Goianiense (Casa): 38.90%; Criciuma (Trasferta): 30.73%; Pareggio: 30.36%. Per Criciuma (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.254. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.250, con un valore atteso del -0.112%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.07%EV -4.30%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.07%EV -4.30%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 18:50
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.07%EV -4.30%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 18:55
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -2.26%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.46%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 18:35
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 18:55
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -6.25%E -2.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -7.49%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -5.57%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 18:55
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 18:55
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 18:51
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 18:50
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 18:50
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 18:55
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 18:40
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 18:40
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -7.41%E -3.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -11.48%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 18:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.41%E -3.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -13.94%E -4.98%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 18:55
Bovada🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.06%EV -8.19%E -3.47%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 18:39
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.58%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -1.65%E -0.515%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -8.58%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.58%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -8.58%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -13.46%E -4.72%K -7.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 18:35
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.66%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -12.55%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 18:50
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -9.75%E -4.20%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -12.55%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.57%EV -10.14%E -4.39%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 18:35
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 18:35
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 18:35
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 18:55
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 18:33
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.55%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-13 18:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.53%E -4.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -11.48%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-13 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -14.42%E -6.55%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -1.65%E -0.515%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.43%E -3.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 18:40
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.51%EV -16.75%E -7.83%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -0.112%E -0.035%K -0.050%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -13.46%E -4.72%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 18:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%1.6%2026-09-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%1.9%2026-09-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%1.9%2026-09-13 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%1.9%2026-09-13 18:55
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48%2.5%2026-09-13 18:55