Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.17
assuming max odds 3.97
assuming max odds 3.37
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 44.99%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit): 26.19%; Draw: 28.82%. For Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.97, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.98%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.01%EV -10.48%E -5.27%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.57%EV +3.98%E +1.00%K +1.34%G +0.053% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.42%EV -8.35%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-12 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -15.88%E -8.49%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV +2.15%E +0.551%K +0.741%G +0.016% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-12 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.470%E -0.124%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-12 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.470%E -0.124%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-12 21:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.96%EV -5.98%E -2.86%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.52%E -0.404%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.50%EV -2.87%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-12 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -12.28%E -6.30%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-12 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-12 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-12 21:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 21:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -9.13%E -4.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-12 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -9.13%E -4.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-12 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-12 21:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-12 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-12 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-12 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.28%E -6.30%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-12 21:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-12 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-12 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-12 21:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-12 21:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-12 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-12 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-12 21:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-12 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 21:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-12 21:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -17.49%E -5.55%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-12 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.69%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -17.49%E -5.55%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.09%E -3.96%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.81%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.13%EV -17.49%E -5.55%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -12.09%E -3.96%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-12 21:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -18.80%E -6.07%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -18.80%E -6.07%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-12 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -18.80%E -6.07%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-12 21:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.09% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.03% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.88% | -0.1% | 2026-06-12 21:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.82% | 0.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.1% | 2026-06-12 21:50 |