L’École des cotes

Atletico Goianiense v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-12 22:00 UTC

Score final : Atletico Goianiense 3–3 Clube de Regatas Brasil

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atletico Goianiense (Local)

Prévision 44.99%2.22cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.65%45.07%45.07%48.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.062.052.1753.48%48.57%48.78%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.19%3.82cote équitable
EV +3.98%
Avantage +1.00%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.053%

avec la cote maximale 3.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.23%26.16%26.11%28.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.453.403.9732.26%28.94%29.41%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.82%3.47cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -0.852%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.99%28.77%28.82%30.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.163.173.3733.33%31.64%31.60%29.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.01%EV -10.48%E -5.27%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.57%EV +3.98%E +1.00%K +1.34%G +0.053%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.42%EV -8.35%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 21:49
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -15.88%E -8.49%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV +2.15%E +0.551%K +0.741%G +0.016%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-12 21:40
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.470%E -0.124%K -0.168%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 21:40
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.470%E -0.124%K -0.168%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 21:39
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.96%EV -5.98%E -2.86%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.52%E -0.404%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.50%EV -2.87%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 21:50
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 21:50
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 21:49
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -12.28%E -6.30%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-12 21:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-12 21:40
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-12 21:49
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 21:40
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 21:40
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 21:39
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -9.13%E -4.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-12 21:49
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -9.13%E -4.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-12 21:49
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-12 21:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-12 21:50
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-12 21:49
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-12 21:49
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-12 21:50
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-12 21:49
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.28%E -6.30%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-12 21:39
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 21:40
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-12 21:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-12 21:40
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-12 21:39
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-12 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-12 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-12 21:39
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-12 21:40
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 21:49
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 21:50
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 21:50
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 21:50
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 21:50
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 21:50
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 21:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 21:50
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-12 21:39
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-12 21:50
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -17.49%E -5.55%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-12 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.69%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -17.49%E -5.55%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.09%E -3.96%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-12 21:50
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 42.81%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.13%EV -17.49%E -5.55%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -12.09%E -3.96%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-12 21:49
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -18.80%E -6.07%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-12 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -18.80%E -6.07%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-12 21:49
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -18.80%E -6.07%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-12 21:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 45.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.03%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.88%-0.1%2026-06-12 21:40
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.82%0.1%2026-06-12 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-06-12 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.1%2026-06-12 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.1%2026-06-12 21:50