Atletico Goianiense v Athletic Club (MG)

2026-07-18 21:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

49%

23%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Atletico Goianiense (Local)

Prediction 48.74%2.05fair odd

EV -7.40%

Edge -3.90%

Kelly -8.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.60%48.74%48.74%49.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.801.861.891.9056%54%53%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Athletic Club (MG) (Visit)

Prediction 22.78%4.39fair odd

EV -4.31%

Edge -1.03%

Kelly -1.35%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.15%22.78%22.78%22.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.854.074.204.2026%25%24%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.48%3.51fair odd

EV -7.44%

Edge -2.29%

Kelly -3.31%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.42%28.48%28.48%28.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.053.183.253.2533%31%31%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -7.40%E -3.90%K -8.22%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-11 21:54
Unibet (NL)	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -7.89%E -4.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-11 21:55
Unibet (SE)	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -7.89%E -4.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-11 21:54
Casumo	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -7.89%E -4.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-11 21:54
betPARX	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -7.89%E -4.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-11 21:49
Svenska Spel	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -7.89%E -4.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-11 21:54
ATG (SE)	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -7.89%E -4.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-11 21:54
BetRivers	1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.86%E -4.74%K -10.19%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-07-11 21:29
Grosvenor	1.83I 54.64%NM 48.92%EV -10.81%E -5.91%K -13.03%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.66%EV -10.00%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-07-11 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)	1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -10.81%E -5.91%K -13.03%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -10.00%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-07-11 21:50
TABtouch	1.82I 54.95%NM 48.69%EV -11.30%E -6.21%K -13.78%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-07-11 21:29
LiveScore Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 48.60%EV -12.28%E -6.82%K -15.34%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.72%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -13.14%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000%	14.3%	2026-07-11 21:49
Virgin Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 48.60%EV -12.28%E -6.82%K -15.34%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.72%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -13.14%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000%	14.3%	2026-07-11 21:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.