La scuola delle quote

Atletico Goianiense v Athletic Club (MG)

Inizio: 2026-07-18 21:00 UTC

Finale: Atletico Goianiense 0–0 Athletic Club (MG)

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Atletico Goianiense (Casa)

Previsione 43.85%2.28quota equa
EV -1.33%
Vantaggio -0.592%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.62%44.35%43.57%48.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.042.082.2554.05%48.92%48.19%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Athletic Club (MG) (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.30%3.80quota equa
EV +13.89%
Vantaggio +3.21%
Kelly +4.17%
Crescita +0.579%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.90%25.95%26.41%28.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.643.504.3330.77%27.49%28.57%23.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.85%3.35quota equa
EV -0.015%
Vantaggio -0.004%
Kelly -0.006%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.43%29.70%30.03%31.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.083.053.3534.48%32.43%32.79%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -18.87%E -10.20%K -22.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV +13.89%E +3.21%K +4.17%G +0.579%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-15 06:33
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -18.87%E -10.20%K -22.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV +13.89%E +3.21%K +4.17%G +0.579%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-15 06:34
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -18.87%E -10.20%K -22.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV +13.89%E +3.21%K +4.17%G +0.579%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-15 06:34
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -18.87%E -10.20%K -22.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV +13.89%E +3.21%K +4.17%G +0.579%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-15 06:34
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.42%EV -14.05%E -7.17%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV +3.89%E +0.985%K +1.32%G +0.051%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 20:25
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.55%EV -14.49%E -7.43%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV +3.89%E +0.985%K +1.32%G +0.051%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 20:25
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.55%EV -14.49%E -7.43%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV +3.89%E +0.985%K +1.32%G +0.051%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 20:25
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 47.55%EV -14.49%E -7.43%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV +3.89%E +0.985%K +1.32%G +0.051%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 20:25
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 47.55%EV -14.49%E -7.43%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV +3.89%E +0.985%K +1.32%G +0.051%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 20:25
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.55%EV -14.49%E -7.43%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV +3.89%E +0.985%K +1.32%G +0.051%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 20:25
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.55%EV -14.49%E -7.43%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV +3.89%E +0.985%K +1.32%G +0.051%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 20:25
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -14.49%E -7.43%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV +2.58%E +0.661%K +0.889%G +0.023%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-18 20:35
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.30%EV -15.37%E -7.96%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV +1.26%E +0.328%K +0.443%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 20:25
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 47.31%EV -17.12%E -9.06%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -1.37%E -0.365%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.22%EV -17.56%E -9.34%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -1.37%E -0.365%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-18 20:25
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 47.22%EV -17.56%E -9.34%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -1.37%E -0.365%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-18 20:25
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 47.11%EV -18.44%E -9.91%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -2.68%E -0.725%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-18 20:25
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 47.11%EV -18.44%E -9.91%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -2.68%E -0.725%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-18 20:25
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.03%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 20:55
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -7.03%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 20:55
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 20:55
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 20:55
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 20:54
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 20:55
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 20:55
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 20:55
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 20:49
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86%EV -2.21%E -0.991%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -8.47%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -11.06%E -3.71%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 20:55
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 42.97%EV -6.60%E -3.10%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 20:55
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 20:55
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -7.03%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 20:55
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -13.61%E -6.91%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -1.51%E -0.457%K -0.655%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 20:55
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 20:55
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.93%EV -1.77%E -0.791%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.37%EV -10.84%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -0.015%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 20:50
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -1.33%E -0.592%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 20:55
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -7.03%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 20:50
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -1.77%E -0.791%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 20:55
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -1.77%E -0.791%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 20:55
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -5.28%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 20:55
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 20:55
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -13.45%E -4.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 20:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-07-18 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-07-18 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-07-18 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-07-18 20:55
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-07-18 20:55