StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Athletic Club (MG) v Grêmio Novorizontino

Matchstart: 2026-08-24 22:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Athletic Club (MG) 1–4 Grêmio Novorizontino

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Athletic Club (MG) (Hemma)

Prognos 27.90%3.58rättvist odds
EV -0.963%
Fördel -0.271%
Kelly -0.377%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.34%27.87%27.84%29.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.953.263.303.5533.90%30.71%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Grêmio Novorizontino (Borta)

Prognos 41.17%2.43rättvist odds
EV -4.48%
Fördel -1.93%
Kelly -3.39%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.32

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.84%41.24%41.18%43.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.232.252.3247.62%44.77%44.44%43.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.93%3.23rättvist odds
EV -4.12%
Fördel -1.33%
Kelly -1.96%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.69%30.89%30.97%31.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.872.982.953.1034.84%33.61%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Athletic Club (MG) (Hemma): 27.90%; Grêmio Novorizontino (Borta): 41.17%; Oavgjort: 30.93%. För Athletic Club (MG) (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.58. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.55, med väntevärdet -0.963%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -0.963%E -0.271%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.29%EV -11.07%E -5.12%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -4.74%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 22:24
Pinnacle🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 27.21%EV -1.24%E -0.351%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.52%EV -4.48%E -1.93%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.27%EV -4.74%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-24 22:15
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -2.36%E -0.674%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.68%EV -6.95%E -3.08%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 22:24
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -2.36%E -0.674%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 22:14
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -2.36%E -0.674%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 22:14
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 22:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 22:19
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.66%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 21:44
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -8.60%E -3.87%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-24 22:18
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -11.48%E -5.34%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.92%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 22:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -11.48%E -5.34%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.92%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 22:19
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-24 20:54
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 22:19
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 22:24
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 21:44
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 22:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 21:45
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 22:19
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 21:39
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 21:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 21:39
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 21:39
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.23%EV -8.60%E -3.87%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 21:44
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.23%EV -8.60%E -3.87%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 21:44
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 22:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 22:19
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 21:29
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.92%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-24 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.92%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-24 22:24
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.92%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-24 22:24
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 22:24
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 22:24
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 22:24
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 22:24
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 22:24
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 22:24
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 22:24
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.23%E -3.91%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 21:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.23%E -3.91%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 21:25
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 15:05
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -14.91%E -4.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -5.66%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 22:19
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -14.91%E -4.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -16.31%E -5.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 22:24
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -16.31%E -5.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.56%EV -10.24%E -4.70%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-24 22:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -17.70%E -6.00%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -10.66%E -4.91%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-24 22:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -17.70%E -6.00%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -10.66%E -4.91%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-24 22:24
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-08-24 22:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-08-24 22:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-08-24 22:24
Smarkets◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-08-24 22:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-08-24 22:19