Langue:Français
Athletic Club (MG) v Criciuma
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Prévision 30.31%3.30cote équitable
EV +3.65%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.51%
Croissance +0.055%
avec la cote maximale 3.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.30%30.13%30.40%31.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.013.003.4236.36%33.22%33.33%29.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Criciuma (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.26%2.68cote équitable
EV -4.98%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -3.21%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.22%37.45%37.20%40.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.472.502.5544.44%40.42%40.00%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 32.43%3.08cote équitable
EV -4.33%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.81%32.42%32.40%33.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.832.812.9537.04%35.29%35.59%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Athletic Club (MG) (Local) : 30.31% ; Criciuma (Visiteur) : 37.26% ; Match nul : 32.43%. Pour Athletic Club (MG) (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.30. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.42, soit une espérance positive de +3.65%.
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV +3.65%E +1.07%K +1.51%G +0.055% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.74%EV -10.19%E -4.23%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.86%EV +1.22%E +0.366%K +0.522%G +0.006% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.35%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV +0.009%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -16.16%E -7.18%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 13:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -3.02%E -0.944%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -3.02%E -0.944%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.02%E -0.944%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.46%EV -10.49%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.60%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.58%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.82%EV -8.55%E -3.03%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.58%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.82%EV -8.55%E -3.03%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 13:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.44%E -4.61%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.44%E -4.61%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 13:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.15%EV -7.96%E -3.22%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.12%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-05 10:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.12%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-05 10:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.12%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 11:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.58%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.11%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.11%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -7.58%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 13:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.11%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -14.29%E -6.21%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -6.60%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -12.72%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -15.14%E -5.41%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.72%EV -15.14%E -5.41%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -9.45%E -3.89%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.72%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.72%EV -15.14%E -5.41%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -9.45%E -3.89%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.72%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -16.66%E -6.06%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -16.66%E -6.06%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.78% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.93% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.29% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |