默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Athletic Club (MG) v Botafogo-SP

2026-09-19 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

胜负盘

13 家博彩公司 (1 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Athletic Club (MG) (主队)

预测 39.26%2.55公平赔率
EV -6.56%
优势 -2.76%
Kelly -4.75%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布
39.08%39.26%39.26%39.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.332.382.3844.44%42.83%42.02%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Botafogo-SP (客队)

预测 29.86%3.35公平赔率
EV -7.42%
优势 -2.39%
Kelly -3.53%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
29.85%29.86%29.86%30.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.053.103.1033.90%32.79%32.26%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.88%3.24公平赔率
EV -5.83%
优势 -1.91%
Kelly -2.84%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布
30.62%30.88%30.88%30.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.882.983.053.0534.72%33.52%32.79%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Athletic Club (MG) (主队):39.26%;Botafogo-SP (客队):29.86%;平局:30.88%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.24。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.05,期望值为-5.83%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (13 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 22:04
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 22:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 22:04
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 22:04
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -8.92%E -3.84%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.27%EV -10.49%E -4.60%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.27%EV -10.49%E -4.60%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 21:40
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.27%EV -10.49%E -4.60%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.08%EV -10.49%E -4.60%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -11.90%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 22:05
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.66%E -5.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.98%EV -11.90%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.71%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-12 21:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。