A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Athletic Club (MG) v Botafogo-SP

Início: 2026-09-19 21:30 UTC

Final: Athletic Club (MG) 1–1 Botafogo-SP

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletic Club (MG) (Local)

Previsão 40.30%2.48odd justa
EV -2.47%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -1.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.51%40.51%40.27%42.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.082.242.252.4248.08%44.56%44.44%41.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Botafogo-SP (Visitante)

Previsão 28.77%3.48odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -0.552%
Kelly -0.781%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.51%28.63%28.82%29.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.253.253.4133.33%30.78%30.77%29.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.92%3.23odd justa
EV -4.14%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -1.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.61%30.86%30.91%32.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.982.983.1035.71%33.56%33.56%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletic Club (MG) (Local): 40.30%; Botafogo-SP (Visitante): 28.77%; Empate: 30.92%. Para Botafogo-SP (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.48. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.41, com valor esperado de -1.88%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.78%EV -2.47%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.23%EV -1.88%E -0.552%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.98%EV -6.92%E -2.30%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 21:25
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -5.29%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 21:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -5.69%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -7.85%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 21:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -5.69%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -7.85%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 21:09
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -5.69%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -7.85%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 21:10
Bovada🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.09%E -2.62%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -10.94%E -3.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 21:24
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 21:04
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 21:24
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 21:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 21:05
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 21:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.36%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 21:04
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -9.36%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 21:04
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -9.36%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 21:10
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.94%E -3.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 21:24
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.94%E -3.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.94%E -3.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.94%E -3.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 21:25
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 21:04
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -8.11%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 21:14
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 21:04
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.94%E -3.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-19 21:05
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.94%E -3.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-19 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.25%E -3.92%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 21:04
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.25%E -3.92%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 21:04
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -13.68%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.94%E -3.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-19 21:10
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.31%EV -10.93%E -4.95%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.42%EV -1.88%E -0.552%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -4.44%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 21:25
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 21:04
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.14%E -5.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.17%E -0.639%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 21:25
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.14%E -5.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.17%E -0.639%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 21:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.14%E -5.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.17%E -0.639%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 21:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.14%E -5.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.17%E -0.639%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 21:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.14%E -5.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.17%E -0.639%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.14%E -5.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.17%E -0.639%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 21:25
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.14%E -5.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.17%E -0.639%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 21:24
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -13.75%E -6.43%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -14.56%E -6.87%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 21:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -14.56%E -6.87%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 21:24
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -14.56%E -6.87%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 21:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -15.36%E -7.32%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -2.17%E -0.639%K -0.905%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 21:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -15.36%E -7.32%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 21:24
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.46%EV -16.17%E -7.77%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -8.77%E -2.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-19 21:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.57%0.6%2026-09-19 21:20
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%1.1%2026-09-19 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%1.1%2026-09-19 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%1.1%2026-09-19 21:25
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-09-19 21:25