La scuola delle quote

Vitoria v Vasco da Gama

Inizio: 2026-07-16 22:30 UTC

Finale: Vitoria 1–0 Vasco da Gama

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vitoria (Casa)

Previsione 37.91%2.64quota equa
EV -1.44%
Vantaggio -0.554%
Kelly -0.901%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.26%37.95%37.86%39.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.462.482.6043.48%40.58%40.32%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vasco da Gama (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.89%3.04quota equa
EV -1.33%
Vantaggio -0.443%
Kelly -0.664%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.62%32.84%32.93%34.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.842.803.0037.74%35.20%35.71%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.20%3.42quota equa
EV -2.76%
Vantaggio -0.828%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.05%29.21%29.22%30.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.183.203.3333.33%31.40%31.25%30.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.44%E -0.554%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.59%EV -1.99%E -0.666%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%EV -5.68%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-16 22:25
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -1.44%E -0.554%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 22:25
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -1.44%E -0.554%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:20
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 37.70%EV -2.20%E -0.853%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.09%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.21%EV -2.76%E -0.828%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-16 22:25
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.51%EV -2.20%E -0.853%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.24%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-16 22:25
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.13%EV -3.34%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%EV -1.33%E -0.443%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-16 22:15
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.13%EV -3.34%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%EV -1.33%E -0.443%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-16 22:20
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.37%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.30%EV -2.31%E -0.779%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.33%EV -4.51%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 22:25
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -3.63%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 22:15
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -3.63%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 22:20
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 22:24
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-16 22:20
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 22:20
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 22:20
betano_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 22:25
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 22:20
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 22:25
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 22:24
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 22:15
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 22:19
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 22:25
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:25
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.65%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.99%EV -6.92%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -7.14%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -7.25%E -2.57%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 22:20
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -7.25%E -2.57%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 22:20
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.29%EV -6.37%E -2.58%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.10%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-16 22:15
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 22:20
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:05
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.28%E -1.83%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 22:25
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 22:20
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-16 22:25
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 22:20
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 22:20
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 22:20
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.11%EV -7.89%E -3.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-16 22:05
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.26%E -3.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -1.33%E -0.443%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 21:35
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 22:05
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 22:25
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 22:05
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-16 22:20
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-16 22:05
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-16 22:05
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-16 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-16 22:15
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-16 22:20
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-16 22:20
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-16 22:20
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.92%E -4.65%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-16 22:15
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.64%EV -11.68%E -5.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.50%EV -8.89%E -3.21%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.86%EV -8.89%E -2.85%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-16 22:15
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-16 22:15
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -12.84%E -4.85%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-16 22:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.80%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.87%-0.0%2026-07-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 38.03%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-07-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%1.4%2026-07-16 22:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-16 22:25