L’École des cotes

Vitoria v Vasco da Gama

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-16 22:30 UTC

Score final : Vitoria 1–0 Vasco da Gama

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vitoria (Local)

Prévision 37.91%2.64cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.554%
Kelly -0.901%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.26%37.95%37.86%39.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.462.482.6043.48%40.58%40.32%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vasco da Gama (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.89%3.04cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.443%
Kelly -0.664%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.62%32.84%32.93%34.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.842.803.0037.74%35.20%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.20%3.42cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -0.828%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.05%29.21%29.22%30.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.203.3333.33%31.40%31.25%30.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.44%E -0.554%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.59%EV -1.99%E -0.666%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%EV -5.68%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-16 22:25
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -1.44%E -0.554%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 22:25
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -1.44%E -0.554%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:20
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 37.70%EV -2.20%E -0.853%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.09%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.21%EV -2.76%E -0.828%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-16 22:25
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.51%EV -2.20%E -0.853%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.24%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-16 22:25
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.13%EV -3.34%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%EV -1.33%E -0.443%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-16 22:15
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.13%EV -3.34%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%EV -1.33%E -0.443%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-16 22:20
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.37%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.30%EV -2.31%E -0.779%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.33%EV -4.51%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 22:25
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -3.63%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 22:15
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -3.63%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -5.38%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 22:20
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 22:24
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-16 22:20
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 22:20
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 22:20
betano_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 22:25
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 22:20
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 22:25
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 22:24
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 22:15
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 22:19
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 22:25
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:25
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.65%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.99%EV -6.92%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -7.14%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -7.25%E -2.57%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 22:20
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -7.25%E -2.57%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 22:20
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.29%EV -6.37%E -2.58%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.10%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-16 22:15
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 22:20
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:05
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.28%E -1.83%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 22:25
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 22:20
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-16 22:25
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 22:20
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 22:20
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 22:20
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.11%EV -7.89%E -3.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-16 22:05
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.26%E -3.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -1.33%E -0.443%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 21:35
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 22:05
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 22:25
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 22:05
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-16 22:20
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-16 22:05
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-16 22:05
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-16 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-16 22:15
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.91%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-16 22:20
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-16 22:20
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-16 22:20
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.92%E -4.65%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-16 22:15
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.64%EV -11.68%E -5.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.50%EV -8.89%E -3.21%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.86%EV -8.89%E -2.85%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-16 22:15
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-16 22:15
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -12.84%E -4.85%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-16 22:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.80%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.87%-0.0%2026-07-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 38.03%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-07-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.1%2026-07-16 22:25
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%1.4%2026-07-16 22:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-16 22:25