A Escola das Odds

Vitoria v Sao Paulo

Início: 2026-04-11 19:34 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Vitoria (Local)

Previsão 31.43%3.18odd justa
EV +2.15%
Vantagem +0.660%
Kelly +0.954%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.74%31.61%31.39%34.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.993.003.2539.22%33.40%33.33%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sao Paulo (Visitante)

Previsão 37.39%2.67odd justa
EV -2.77%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.38%37.31%37.40%39.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.452.502.6044.44%40.80%40.00%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.18%3.21odd justa
EV -0.238%
Vantagem -0.074%
Kelly -0.108%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.60%31.08%31.22%32.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.633.013.003.2038.02%33.20%33.33%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV +2.15%E +0.660%K +0.954%G +0.020%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.65%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.50%EV -3.98%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 19:29
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV +2.15%E +0.660%K +0.954%G +0.020%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.89%EV -9.13%E -3.76%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -0.238%E -0.074%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 19:30
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV +2.15%E +0.660%K +0.954%G +0.020%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.89%EV -9.13%E -3.76%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -0.238%E -0.074%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 19:30
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV +0.575%E +0.180%K +0.261%G +0.002%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.33%EV -1.80%E -0.570%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 19:30
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:29
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:29
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:29
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 19:30
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 19:30
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 19:30
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 19:30
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 19:30
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 19:30
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:16
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -2.57%E -0.828%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -1.80%E -0.570%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 19:28
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -2.57%E -0.828%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -2.57%E -0.828%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 19:30
GTbets3.09I 32.36%NM 30.99%EV -2.88%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.40%EV -1.80%E -0.570%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 19:29
Pinnacle3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.20%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.98%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 19:29
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.14%E -1.36%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 19:29
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.14%E -1.36%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -14.74%E -6.47%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 19:30
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 19:30
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 19:27
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:30
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:29
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:29
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:28
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 19:29
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 19:29
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -15.86%E -7.05%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 19:30
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -15.86%E -7.05%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 19:30
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 19:30
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 19:30
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.33%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.33%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 19:29
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 19:30
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:29
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:30
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:30
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 19:29
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 19:29
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 19:29
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 19:29
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 19:29
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 19:29
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 19:29
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -13.99%E -6.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 19:29
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.48%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 19:30
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.48%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -10.21%E -3.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 19:30
Betclic (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -9.80%E -3.41%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.03%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 19:29
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -10.43%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 19:29
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -12.00%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -10.21%E -3.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -12.00%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -13.99%E -6.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -18.01%E -6.85%K -11.05%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-11 19:30
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -15.14%E -5.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -1.80%E -0.570%K -0.836%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 19:30
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -16.71%E -6.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 19:30
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.25%EV -19.85%E -7.79%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.64%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-11 19:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.07%0.6%2026-04-11 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.07%0.6%2026-04-11 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.07%0.6%2026-04-11 19:30
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.66%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%1.9%2026-04-11 19:30
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-04-11 19:30
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%4.1%2026-04-11 19:30