مدرسة الاحتمالات

Vitoria v Sao Paulo

البداية: 2026-04-11 19:34 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Vitoria (المضيف)

التنبؤ 31.43%3.18السعر العادل
EV +2.15%
الأفضلية +0.660%
Kelly +0.954%
النمو +0.020%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.74%31.61%31.39%34.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.993.003.2539.22%33.40%33.33%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sao Paulo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.39%2.67السعر العادل
EV -2.77%
الأفضلية -1.07%
Kelly -1.73%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.38%37.31%37.40%39.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.452.502.6044.44%40.80%40.00%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.18%3.21السعر العادل
EV -0.238%
الأفضلية -0.074%
Kelly -0.108%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.60%31.08%31.22%32.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.633.013.003.2038.02%33.20%33.33%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV +2.15%E +0.660%K +0.954%G +0.020%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.65%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.50%EV -3.98%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 19:29
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV +2.15%E +0.660%K +0.954%G +0.020%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.89%EV -9.13%E -3.76%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -0.238%E -0.074%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 19:30
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV +2.15%E +0.660%K +0.954%G +0.020%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.89%EV -9.13%E -3.76%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -0.238%E -0.074%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 19:30
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV +0.575%E +0.180%K +0.261%G +0.002%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.33%EV -1.80%E -0.570%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 19:30
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:29
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:29
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:29
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 19:30
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 19:30
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 19:30
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 19:30
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 19:30
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 19:30
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.997%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:16
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -2.57%E -0.828%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -1.80%E -0.570%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 19:28
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -2.57%E -0.828%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -2.57%E -0.828%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 19:30
GTbets3.09I 32.36%NM 30.99%EV -2.88%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.40%EV -1.80%E -0.570%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 19:29
Pinnacle3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.20%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.98%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 19:29
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.14%E -1.36%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 19:29
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -4.14%E -1.36%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -14.74%E -6.47%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 19:30
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 19:30
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 19:27
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:30
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:29
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:29
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:28
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 19:29
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 19:29
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -15.86%E -7.05%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 19:30
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -15.86%E -7.05%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 19:30
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 19:30
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 19:30
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.33%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.33%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 19:29
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 19:30
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:29
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:30
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.36%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:30
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 19:29
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 19:29
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 19:29
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 19:29
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 19:29
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 19:29
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 19:29
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -13.99%E -6.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 19:29
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.48%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 19:30
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.48%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -10.21%E -3.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 19:30
Betclic (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -9.80%E -3.41%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.03%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 19:29
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -10.43%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.51%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 19:29
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -12.00%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -10.21%E -3.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -12.00%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -13.99%E -6.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -18.01%E -6.85%K -11.05%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-11 19:30
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -15.14%E -5.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -1.80%E -0.570%K -0.836%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 19:30
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -16.71%E -6.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 19:30
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.25%EV -19.85%E -7.79%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.64%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-11 19:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.07%0.6%2026-04-11 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.07%0.6%2026-04-11 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.07%0.6%2026-04-11 19:30
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.66%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%1.9%2026-04-11 19:30
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-04-11 19:30
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%4.1%2026-04-11 19:30