L’École des cotes

Vitoria v Palmeiras

2026-07-30 00:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vitoria (Local)

Prévision 25.71%3.89cote équitable
EV -0.517%
Avantage -0.134%
Kelly -0.180%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.62%25.70%25.75%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.633.613.8730.77%27.54%27.70%25.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Palmeiras (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.12%2.17cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -3.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.44%46.14%46.11%46.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.862.012.022.0853.76%49.80%49.50%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.18%3.55cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -0.808%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.51%28.16%28.14%28.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.293.303.4533.33%30.38%30.30%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -0.517%E -0.134%K -0.180%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.94%EV -6.38%E -3.15%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 16:20
BetOnline.ag3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -0.517%E -0.134%K -0.180%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.94%EV -6.38%E -3.15%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 16:20
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%EV -1.03%E -0.268%K -0.362%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -2.79%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 02:20
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%EV -1.03%E -0.268%K -0.362%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -2.79%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 02:20
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.32%E -0.610%K -0.827%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 00:19
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.32%E -0.610%K -0.827%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-23 15:23
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.60%E -0.960%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 00:19
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.60%E -0.960%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 00:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.60%E -0.960%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 00:19
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.60%E -0.960%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.60%E -0.960%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 00:19
GTbets3.74I 26.74%NM 25.20%EV -3.86%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 00:05
1xBet3.73I 26.81%NM 25.75%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.17%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.08%EV -3.63%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 09:59
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:19
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:18
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:20
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:20
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:25
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:25
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:20
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:25
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 00:45
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 02:20
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.96%EV -9.15%E -4.65%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 02:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -9.15%E -4.65%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:20
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -6.94%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -6.45%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 09:55
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 00:20
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 00:20
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 00:53
betano_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 00:54
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 15:54
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 15:55
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 15:55
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 16:00
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.07%E -5.17%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 02:20
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.07%E -5.17%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 02:20
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -10.54%E -5.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 02:20
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 00:19
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:45
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:45
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 00:44
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 18:25
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 00:19
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 00:20
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 00:20
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.07%E -5.17%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 08:15
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -12.38%E -6.52%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 00:45
Betclic (FR)3.48I 28.74%NM 25.18%EV -10.54%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.37%EV -12.84%E -6.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.45%EV -13.21%E -4.29%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 00:48
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.60%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-24 08:00
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.60%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -11.46%E -5.97%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 00:45
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -16.45%E -5.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -10.07%E -5.17%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-26 00:19
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -16.45%E -5.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 45.61%EV -14.22%E -7.65%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.28%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-26 00:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%13.6%2026-07-26 00:45