La escuela de los momios

Vitoria v Palmeiras

2026-07-30 00:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Vitoria (Local)

Predicción 25.71%3.89momio equitativo
EV -0.517%
Ventaja -0.134%
Kelly -0.180%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.62%25.70%25.75%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.633.613.8730.77%27.54%27.70%25.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Palmeiras (Visitante)

Predicción 46.12%2.17momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -1.96%
Kelly -3.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.44%46.14%46.11%46.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.862.012.022.0853.76%49.80%49.50%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.18%3.55momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -0.808%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.51%28.16%28.14%28.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.293.303.4533.33%30.38%30.30%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -0.517%E -0.134%K -0.180%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.94%EV -6.38%E -3.15%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 16:20
BetOnline.ag3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -0.517%E -0.134%K -0.180%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.94%EV -6.38%E -3.15%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 16:20
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%EV -1.03%E -0.268%K -0.362%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -2.79%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 02:20
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%EV -1.03%E -0.268%K -0.362%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -2.79%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 02:20
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.32%E -0.610%K -0.827%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 00:19
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.32%E -0.610%K -0.827%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-23 15:23
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.60%E -0.960%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 00:19
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.60%E -0.960%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 00:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.60%E -0.960%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 00:19
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.60%E -0.960%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.60%E -0.960%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 00:19
GTbets3.74I 26.74%NM 25.20%EV -3.86%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 00:05
1xBet3.73I 26.81%NM 25.75%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.17%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.08%EV -3.63%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 09:59
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:19
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:18
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:20
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:20
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:25
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:25
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:20
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:25
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 00:45
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 02:20
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.96%EV -9.15%E -4.65%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 02:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -9.15%E -4.65%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:20
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -6.94%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -6.45%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 09:55
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 00:20
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 00:20
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 00:53
betano_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 00:54
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 15:54
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 15:55
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 15:55
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 16:00
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.07%E -5.17%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 02:20
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.07%E -5.17%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 02:20
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -10.54%E -5.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 02:20
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 00:19
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:45
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:45
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 00:44
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 18:25
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 00:19
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 00:20
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 00:20
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.07%E -5.17%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 08:15
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -12.38%E -6.52%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 00:45
Betclic (FR)3.48I 28.74%NM 25.18%EV -10.54%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.37%EV -12.84%E -6.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.45%EV -13.21%E -4.29%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 00:48
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.60%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-24 08:00
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.60%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -11.46%E -5.97%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 00:45
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -16.45%E -5.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -10.07%E -5.17%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-26 00:19
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -16.45%E -5.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 45.61%EV -14.22%E -7.65%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.28%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-26 00:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%13.6%2026-07-26 00:45