L’École des cotes

Vitoria v Coritiba

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 21:30 UTC

Score final : Vitoria 4–1 Coritiba

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vitoria (Local)

Prévision 42.98%2.33cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -0.879%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.22%42.98%43.00%43.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.172.172.2848.78%46.17%46.19%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Coritiba (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.25%3.81cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -0.629%
Kelly -0.860%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.29%26.25%26.23%27.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.553.553.7230.77%28.13%28.17%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.77%3.25cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -0.979%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.05%30.77%30.77%31.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.023.023.1534.72%33.13%33.06%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.47%EV -2.01%E -0.879%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.10%EV -2.60%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.44%EV -5.24%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 21:20
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.69%EV -2.43%E -1.07%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.05%EV -2.34%E -0.629%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -4.62%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 21:25
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.06%EV -3.29%E -1.46%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -2.86%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV -3.09%E -0.979%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 21:20
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.06%EV -3.29%E -1.46%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -2.86%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV -3.09%E -0.979%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 21:15
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -3.29%E -1.46%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.62%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 21:05
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.87%EV -4.15%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.78%EV -6.28%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%EV -3.09%E -0.979%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 21:10
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -4.15%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.16%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 21:10
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -4.15%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.16%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 21:10
BetAnything2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -4.15%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.16%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 21:10
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.44%EV -4.15%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.62%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 21:05
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.44%E -2.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -2.86%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 21:25
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.44%E -2.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.16%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 21:25
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.44%E -2.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.16%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 21:20
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.44%E -2.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.62%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 21:05
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.44%E -2.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.62%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 21:05
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.44%E -2.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 21:20
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.44%E -2.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.44%E -2.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -5.44%E -2.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.43%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -4.62%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 21:05
Coolbet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.44%EV -5.87%E -2.68%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.57%EV -2.34%E -0.629%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.99%EV -5.55%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 20:40
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -6.30%E -2.89%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.80%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -6.16%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 21:25
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -6.30%E -2.89%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.80%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -6.16%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 21:25
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -6.73%E -3.10%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.86%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 21:25
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -6.73%E -3.10%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.16%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 21:15
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -6.73%E -3.10%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.16%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 21:15
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -6.73%E -3.10%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.16%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 21:15
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -6.73%E -3.10%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.16%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 21:20
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -6.73%E -3.10%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.16%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 21:15
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -6.73%E -3.10%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.16%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 21:15
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 43.41%EV -7.16%E -3.32%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -2.86%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 21:22
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.17%EV -7.16%E -3.32%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -8.32%E -2.79%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 21:25
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.59%E -3.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.86%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 21:24
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.59%E -3.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.16%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 21:05
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.59%E -3.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 21:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.59%E -3.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.62%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 21:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.59%E -3.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.62%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 21:15
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.59%E -3.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.62%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 21:15
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.59%E -3.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.16%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 21:15
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.59%E -3.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.80%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 21:25
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.59%E -3.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 21:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.59%E -3.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -11.39%E -3.96%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.59%E -3.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -11.39%E -3.96%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 21:25
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.59%E -3.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -11.39%E -3.96%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 21:25
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.59%E -3.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -11.39%E -3.96%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -8.02%E -3.75%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.80%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 21:15
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -8.88%E -4.19%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.80%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 21:05
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.74%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 21:10
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.74%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 21:05
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.74%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.24%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 21:15
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.74%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.24%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 21:15
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.74%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 21:25
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.74%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.39%E -3.96%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 21:25
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -9.74%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -12.05%E -3.60%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -9.24%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 21:04
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.74%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.39%E -3.96%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 21:25
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.57%EV -9.74%E -4.64%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.92%EV -12.84%E -3.87%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.51%EV -9.85%E -3.36%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 21:05
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.33%EV -10.60%E -5.10%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -9.43%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.55%EV -9.24%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 21:15
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.33%EV -10.60%E -5.10%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -9.43%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.55%EV -9.24%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 21:15
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -11.89%E -5.80%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.68%E -4.52%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 21:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 26.01%3.23I 30.96%NM 31.01%-0.1%2026-05-02 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12%0.4%2026-05-02 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12%0.4%2026-05-02 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12%0.4%2026-05-02 21:10
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%1.0%2026-05-02 21:25
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.24%1.6%2026-05-02 21:10