La scuola delle quote

Vasco da Gama v Palmeiras

Inizio: 2026-03-12 22:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vasco da Gama (Casa)

Previsione 31.21%3.20quota equa
EV -0.114%
Vantaggio -0.036%
Kelly -0.052%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.41%31.02%31.38%32.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.013.003.2036.36%33.27%33.33%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palmeiras (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.66%2.52quota equa
EV -2.42%
Vantaggio -0.986%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.85%39.80%39.65%42.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.312.302.4647.62%43.28%43.48%40.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.12%3.43quota equa
EV +2.51%
Vantaggio +0.712%
Kelly +0.994%
Crescita +0.025%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.98%29.18%28.97%30.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.183.203.5235.71%31.42%31.25%28.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.39%EV -11.15%E -4.98%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.98%EV +2.51%E +0.712%K +0.994%G +0.025%5.3%2026-03-12 22:25
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.15%EV -0.114%E -0.036%K -0.052%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.05%EV -6.79%E -2.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%EV -2.44%E -0.730%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 22:15
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.15%EV -0.114%E -0.036%K -0.052%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.05%EV -6.79%E -2.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%EV -2.44%E -0.730%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 22:15
Coolbet3.03I 33.00%NM 31.44%EV -5.42%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 11:29
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -0.114%E -0.036%K -0.052%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 22:25
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -0.114%E -0.036%K -0.052%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 22:25
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:15
Pinnacle3.12I 32.05%NM 31.00%EV -2.61%E -0.837%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.32%EV -2.42%E -0.986%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.67%EV -5.07%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 22:20
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 22:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 22:25
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 21:50
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.60%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 22:25
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -7.92%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:25
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:10
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.92%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.79%E -2.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 22:20
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.92%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.79%E -2.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 22:20
GTbets3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.86%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.38%EV -4.01%E -1.66%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.69%EV -6.52%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 22:00
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.92%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.92%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 22:25
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.79%E -2.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -10.75%E -4.78%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 22:15
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -11.55%E -5.18%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-12 22:10
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 22:20
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 22:20
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -11.04%E -3.87%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 22:00
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.27%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 22:25
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -1.68%E -0.532%K -0.779%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.27%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 22:25
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -1.68%E -0.532%K -0.779%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.27%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 22:25
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -12.74%E -5.79%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.27%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-12 22:15
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -13.53%E -6.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -8.27%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-12 22:15
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -13.53%E -6.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -8.27%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-12 22:15
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.60%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.00%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:24
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.60%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.00%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:25
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.60%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.00%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:25
Marathon Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.52%EV -6.39%E -2.71%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 22:25
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.79%E -2.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.72%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 22:19
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.72%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 21:50
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.72%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 22:25
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.72%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 22:25
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.10%E -3.51%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -9.72%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-12 21:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.60%E -4.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.75%E -4.78%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.72%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-12 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -14.16%E -5.15%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -12.74%E -5.79%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.72%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-12 22:00
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -11.04%E -3.87%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -10.75%E -4.78%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -10.31%E -3.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-12 22:09
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -10.75%E -4.78%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -11.18%E -3.67%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-12 22:20
Unibet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 31.07%EV -11.98%E -4.25%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.20%EV -13.53%E -6.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.73%EV -11.18%E -3.67%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-12 22:25
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-12 22:20
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.75%E -4.78%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-12 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -10.10%E -3.51%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -16.70%E -7.95%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -18.46%E -6.59%K -10.26%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-12 22:19
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -14.16%E -5.15%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.78%EV -16.70%E -7.95%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.84%EV -18.46%E -6.59%K -10.26%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-12 22:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%0.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%0.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%0.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%0.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-03-12 22:20
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-03-12 22:20