La escuela de los momios

Vasco da Gama v Palmeiras

Inicio: 2026-03-12 22:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Vasco da Gama (Local)

Predicción 31.21%3.20momio equitativo
EV -0.114%
Ventaja -0.036%
Kelly -0.052%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.41%31.02%31.38%32.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.013.003.2036.36%33.27%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Palmeiras (Visitante)

Predicción 39.66%2.52momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.986%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.85%39.80%39.65%42.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.312.302.4647.62%43.28%43.48%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.12%3.43momio equitativo
EV +2.51%
Ventaja +0.712%
Kelly +0.994%
Crecimiento +0.025%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.98%29.18%28.97%30.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.183.203.5235.71%31.42%31.25%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.39%EV -11.15%E -4.98%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.98%EV +2.51%E +0.712%K +0.994%G +0.025%5.3%2026-03-12 22:25
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.15%EV -0.114%E -0.036%K -0.052%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.05%EV -6.79%E -2.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%EV -2.44%E -0.730%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 22:15
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.15%EV -0.114%E -0.036%K -0.052%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.05%EV -6.79%E -2.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%EV -2.44%E -0.730%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 22:15
Coolbet3.03I 33.00%NM 31.44%EV -5.42%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 11:29
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -0.114%E -0.036%K -0.052%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 22:25
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -0.114%E -0.036%K -0.052%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 22:25
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:15
Pinnacle3.12I 32.05%NM 31.00%EV -2.61%E -0.837%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.32%EV -2.42%E -0.986%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.67%EV -5.07%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 22:20
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 22:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 22:25
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 21:50
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.60%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 22:25
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -7.92%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:25
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:10
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.92%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.79%E -2.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 22:20
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.92%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.79%E -2.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 22:20
GTbets3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.86%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.38%EV -4.01%E -1.66%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.69%EV -6.52%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 22:00
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.92%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.92%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 22:25
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.79%E -2.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -10.75%E -4.78%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 22:15
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -11.55%E -5.18%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-12 22:10
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 22:20
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 22:20
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -11.04%E -3.87%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 22:00
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.27%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 22:25
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -1.68%E -0.532%K -0.779%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.27%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 22:25
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -1.68%E -0.532%K -0.779%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.27%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 22:25
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -12.74%E -5.79%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.27%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-12 22:15
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -13.53%E -6.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -8.27%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-12 22:15
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -13.53%E -6.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -8.27%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-12 22:15
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.60%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.00%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:24
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.60%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.00%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:25
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.60%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.00%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:25
Marathon Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.80%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.52%EV -6.39%E -2.71%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 22:25
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.79%E -2.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.72%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 22:19
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.80%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.72%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 21:50
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.72%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 22:25
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -3.24%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -9.56%E -4.19%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.72%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 22:25
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.10%E -3.51%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -9.72%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-12 21:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.60%E -4.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.75%E -4.78%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.72%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-12 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -14.16%E -5.15%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -12.74%E -5.79%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.72%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-12 22:00
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -11.04%E -3.87%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -10.75%E -4.78%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -10.31%E -3.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-12 22:09
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -10.75%E -4.78%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -11.18%E -3.67%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-12 22:20
Unibet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 31.07%EV -11.98%E -4.25%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.20%EV -13.53%E -6.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.73%EV -11.18%E -3.67%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-12 22:25
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.77%E -3.81%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-12 22:20
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.48%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.75%E -4.78%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-12 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -10.10%E -3.51%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -16.70%E -7.95%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -18.46%E -6.59%K -10.26%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-12 22:19
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -14.16%E -5.15%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.78%EV -16.70%E -7.95%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.84%EV -18.46%E -6.59%K -10.26%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-12 22:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%0.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%0.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%0.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%0.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-03-12 22:20
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-03-12 22:20