La scuola delle quote

Vasco da Gama v Mirassol

Inizio: 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vasco da Gama (Casa)

Previsione 47.12%2.12quota equa
EV +0.840%
Vantaggio +0.393%
Kelly +0.737%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.31%47.06%47.22%48.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.002.002.1454.05%49.96%50.00%46.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mirassol (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.70%4.05quota equa
EV +0.792%
Vantaggio +0.194%
Kelly +0.257%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.68%24.74%24.56%26.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.743.714.0828.99%26.72%26.95%24.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.17%3.55quota equa
EV -1.67%
Vantaggio -0.479%
Kelly -0.671%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.24%28.20%28.22%29.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.273.303.4932.26%30.58%30.30%28.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%EV +0.840%E +0.393%K +0.737%G +0.006%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -4.89%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 22:59
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%EV +0.840%E +0.393%K +0.737%G +0.006%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -4.89%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 23:00
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -1.04%E -0.497%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.11%EV -8.35%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.76%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 23:24
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -2.46%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -2.46%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 22:59
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -2.46%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -2.46%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 22:59
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -2.46%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 22:59
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -2.46%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 22:59
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -2.93%E -1.42%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:00
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.69%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.73%EV -4.40%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 23:20
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 13:09
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 18:05
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 22:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -3.87%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 23:00
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.90%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.72%EV +0.792%E +0.194%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -3.93%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 23:05
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.68%EV +0.792%E +0.194%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.50%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 23:20
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.68%EV +0.792%E +0.194%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.50%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 23:19
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.65%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 23:14
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:39
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:39
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -3.65%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 23:24
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -3.65%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 23:09
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 23:24
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 23:24
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -4.89%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 23:05
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -4.89%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 23:04
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.65%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 23:05
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 22:50
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 22:49
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 23:18
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 23:18
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 16:05
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -4.89%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 22:24
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 22:49
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 18:05
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 22:39
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 18:04
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 22:55
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 22:55
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 22:55
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -7.64%E -3.90%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -4.15%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.59%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 23:03
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 22:10
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 23:04
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 23:04
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 23:04
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -9.06%E -4.69%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.53%E -4.96%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 23:04
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.00%E -5.23%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 22:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -10.00%E -5.23%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -10.00%E -5.23%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 23:19
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.00%E -5.23%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-25 22:34
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.39%EV -10.47%E -5.51%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.47%EV -9.09%E -2.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -11.41%E -6.07%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -14.77%E -4.28%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -12.82%E -6.93%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 23:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-07-25 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-07-25 23:05
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-07-25 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-07-25 23:25
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-07-25 23:25
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-07-25 23:05