L’École des cotes

Vasco da Gama v Mirassol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vasco da Gama (Local)

Prévision 47.12%2.12cote équitable
EV +0.840%
Avantage +0.393%
Kelly +0.737%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.31%47.06%47.22%48.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.002.002.1454.05%49.96%50.00%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mirassol (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.70%4.05cote équitable
EV +0.792%
Avantage +0.194%
Kelly +0.257%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.68%24.74%24.56%26.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.743.714.0828.99%26.72%26.95%24.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.17%3.55cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -0.479%
Kelly -0.671%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.24%28.20%28.22%29.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.273.303.4932.26%30.58%30.30%28.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%EV +0.840%E +0.393%K +0.737%G +0.006%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -4.89%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 22:59
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%EV +0.840%E +0.393%K +0.737%G +0.006%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -4.89%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 23:00
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -1.04%E -0.497%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.11%EV -8.35%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.76%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 23:24
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -2.46%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -2.46%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 22:59
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -2.46%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -2.46%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 22:59
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -2.46%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 22:59
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -2.46%E -1.19%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 22:59
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -2.93%E -1.42%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:00
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.69%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.73%EV -4.40%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 23:20
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 13:09
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 18:05
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 22:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -3.87%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 23:00
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.90%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.72%EV +0.792%E +0.194%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -3.93%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 23:05
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.68%EV +0.792%E +0.194%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.50%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 23:20
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.68%EV +0.792%E +0.194%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.50%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 23:19
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.65%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 23:14
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:39
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:39
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -3.65%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 23:24
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -3.65%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 23:09
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 23:24
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 23:24
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -4.89%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 23:05
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -4.89%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 23:04
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.65%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 23:05
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 22:50
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 22:49
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 23:18
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 23:18
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 16:05
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -4.89%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 22:24
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 22:49
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 18:05
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 22:39
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 18:04
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 22:55
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 22:55
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 22:55
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -7.64%E -3.90%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -4.15%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.59%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 23:03
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 22:10
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 23:04
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 23:04
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 23:04
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -9.06%E -4.69%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.53%E -4.96%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 23:04
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.00%E -5.23%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 22:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -10.00%E -5.23%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -10.00%E -5.23%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 23:19
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.00%E -5.23%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-25 22:34
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.39%EV -10.47%E -5.51%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.47%EV -9.09%E -2.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -11.41%E -6.07%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -14.77%E -4.28%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -12.82%E -6.93%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 23:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-07-25 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-07-25 23:05
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-07-25 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-07-25 23:25
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-07-25 23:25
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-07-25 23:05