语言:简体中文
Sao Paulo v Santos
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sao Paulo (主队)
预测 46.51%2.15公平赔率
EV -5.11%
优势 -2.50%
Kelly -4.91%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.04
博彩公司预测分布
45.53%46.51%46.24%47.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.911.971.962.0452.36%50.68%51.02%49.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
Santos (客队)
预测 25.15%3.98公平赔率
EV +0.606%
优势 +0.152%
Kelly +0.202%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
24.07%25.15%25.24%26.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.773.804.0028.57%26.52%26.32%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.33%3.53公平赔率
EV -2.25%
优势 -0.652%
Kelly -0.918%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.45
博彩公司预测分布
27.87%28.33%28.52%28.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.303.303.4531.25%30.35%30.30%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sao Paulo (主队)：46.51%；Santos (客队)：25.15%；平局：28.33%。 对于“Santos (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.98。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.00，对应+0.606%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%EV -5.11%E -2.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV +0.606%E +0.152%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -2.25%E -0.652%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-27 07:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%EV -5.11%E -2.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV +0.606%E +0.152%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -2.25%E -0.652%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-27 07:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.77%EV -8.37%E -4.25%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -1.91%E -0.489%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -8.83%E -4.51%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -1.91%E -0.489%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 07:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -8.83%E -4.51%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -1.91%E -0.489%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -8.83%E -4.51%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -1.91%E -0.489%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 07:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -8.83%E -4.51%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -1.91%E -0.489%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 07:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -8.83%E -4.51%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -1.91%E -0.489%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 07:08 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -3.17%E -0.822%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 07:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -9.76%E -5.03%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -3.17%E -0.822%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -10.23%E -5.30%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.42%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-27 07:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -11.16%E -5.84%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-27 07:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -11.16%E -5.84%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-27 07:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -11.16%E -5.84%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-27 07:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.04%E -2.99%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.04%E -2.99%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-26 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-26 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-26 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-26 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-26 14:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。