La scuola delle quote

Sao Paulo v Santos

2026-07-29 00:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

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21 bookmaker (3 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sao Paulo (Casa)

Previsione 46.43%2.15quota equa
EV -5.28%
Vantaggio -2.59%
Kelly -5.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.53%46.43%46.14%47.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.911.981.972.0452.36%50.58%50.76%49.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Santos (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.95%4.01quota equa
EV +2.28%
Vantaggio +0.557%
Kelly +0.736%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.60%24.95%25.19%26.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.823.904.1028.57%26.17%25.64%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.62%3.49quota equa
EV -2.69%
Vantaggio -0.792%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.43%28.62%28.68%28.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.253.253.4031.75%30.75%30.77%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (21 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67%EV -5.28%E -2.59%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%EV +2.28%E +0.557%K +0.736%G +0.017%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -2.69%E -0.792%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-26 15:25
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67%EV -5.28%E -2.59%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%EV +2.28%E +0.557%K +0.736%G +0.017%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -2.69%E -0.792%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.59%EV -8.06%E -4.07%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -1.46%E -0.369%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.72%EV -8.53%E -4.33%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -1.46%E -0.369%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 15:25
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.72%EV -8.53%E -4.33%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -1.46%E -0.369%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 15:25
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.72%EV -8.53%E -4.33%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -1.46%E -0.369%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.72%EV -8.53%E -4.33%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -1.46%E -0.369%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 15:25
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.72%EV -8.53%E -4.33%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -1.46%E -0.369%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 15:25
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -8.99%E -4.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -1.46%E -0.369%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 15:25
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -9.45%E -4.85%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -2.71%E -0.694%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.88%EV -10.38%E -5.38%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -2.71%E -0.694%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 15:25
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56%EV -11.31%E -5.92%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.85%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:25
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56%EV -11.31%E -5.92%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.85%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:25
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56%EV -11.31%E -5.92%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.85%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:25
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 14:10
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 14:10
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -7.13%E -3.57%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 14:10
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.13%E -3.57%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.69%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.13%E -3.57%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.69%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.13%E -3.57%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.69%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.13%E -3.57%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.69%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.