La scuola delle quote

Sao Paulo v Mirassol

Inizio: 2026-04-26 00:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sao Paulo (Casa)

Previsione 49.90%2.00quota equa
EV -4.68%
Vantaggio -2.45%
Kelly -5.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.08%50.03%49.91%53.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.841.831.9158.82%54.44%54.64%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mirassol (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.78%4.21quota equa
EV +7.00%
Vantaggio +1.56%
Kelly +2.00%
Crescita +0.140%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.49%23.65%23.82%25.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.404.004.004.5029.41%24.98%25.00%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.32%3.80quota equa
EV +0.004%
Vantaggio +0.001%
Kelly +0.002%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.02%26.32%26.28%28.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.553.553.8033.33%28.18%28.17%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +7.00%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.140%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +7.00%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.140%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 19:30
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:30
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:25
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:29
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -11.67%E -6.59%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +2.25%E +0.522%K +0.681%G +0.015%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -12.67%E -7.24%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:29
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -13.17%E -7.57%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:29
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 19:19
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.03%EV -7.18%E -3.86%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:19
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -14.16%E -8.23%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:25
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -14.16%E -8.23%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:29
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -15.16%E -8.92%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 19:30
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -15.16%E -8.92%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 19:29
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.96%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.02%EV -1.80%E -0.435%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 14:50
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.96%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.02%EV -1.80%E -0.435%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 14:54
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 51.96%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.02%EV -1.80%E -0.435%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:54
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.51%E -0.612%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:09
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.48%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.80%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.72%EV -1.84%E -0.493%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 13:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:09
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:09
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:19
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -7.18%E -3.86%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 19:20
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 16:54
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:54
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 13:04
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.73%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 13:09
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.11%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -6.55%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.66%EV -2.36%E -0.637%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:15
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.43%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -6.79%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:34
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 13:14
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 13:12
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:09
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 13:33
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:09
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:10
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:10
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:05
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 13:05
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:49
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.15%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:20
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 13:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -21.05%E -7.02%K -10.52%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 19:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 14:39
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 14:45
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 14:39
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.23%EV -9.67%E -5.34%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -13.21%E -3.62%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.36%EV -11.05%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 00:03
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.58%EV -10.67%E -5.96%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.32%EV -13.21%E -3.62%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-24 00:04
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.20%EV -9.17%E -5.04%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -15.59%E -4.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 13:10
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.66%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -19.15%E -5.63%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.86%EV -11.84%E -3.53%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 13:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-04-24 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%2.8%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%2.8%2026-04-23 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%2.8%2026-04-23 17:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-04-24 00:34
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%3.3%2026-04-24 03:15