L’École des cotes

Sao Paulo v Mirassol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sao Paulo (Local)

Prévision 49.90%2.00cote équitable
EV -4.68%
Avantage -2.45%
Kelly -5.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.08%50.03%49.91%53.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.841.831.9158.82%54.44%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mirassol (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.78%4.21cote équitable
EV +7.00%
Avantage +1.56%
Kelly +2.00%
Croissance +0.140%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.49%23.65%23.82%25.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.004.004.5029.41%24.98%25.00%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.32%3.80cote équitable
EV +0.004%
Avantage +0.001%
Kelly +0.002%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.02%26.32%26.28%28.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.553.553.8033.33%28.18%28.17%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +7.00%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.140%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +7.00%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.140%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 19:30
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:30
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:25
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:29
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -11.67%E -6.59%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +2.25%E +0.522%K +0.681%G +0.015%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -12.67%E -7.24%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:29
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -13.17%E -7.57%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:29
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 19:19
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.03%EV -7.18%E -3.86%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:19
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -14.16%E -8.23%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:25
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -14.16%E -8.23%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:29
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -15.16%E -8.92%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 19:30
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -15.16%E -8.92%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 19:29
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.96%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.02%EV -1.80%E -0.435%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 14:50
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.96%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.02%EV -1.80%E -0.435%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 14:54
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 51.96%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.02%EV -1.80%E -0.435%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:54
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.51%E -0.612%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:09
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.48%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.80%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.72%EV -1.84%E -0.493%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 13:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:09
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:09
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:19
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -7.18%E -3.86%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 19:20
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 16:54
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:54
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 13:04
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.73%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 13:09
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.11%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -6.55%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.66%EV -2.36%E -0.637%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:15
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.43%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -6.79%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:34
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 13:14
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 13:12
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:09
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 13:33
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:09
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:10
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:10
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:05
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 13:05
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:49
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.15%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:20
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 13:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -21.05%E -7.02%K -10.52%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 19:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 14:39
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 14:45
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 14:39
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.23%EV -9.67%E -5.34%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -13.21%E -3.62%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.36%EV -11.05%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 00:03
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.58%EV -10.67%E -5.96%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.32%EV -13.21%E -3.62%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-24 00:04
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.20%EV -9.17%E -5.04%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -15.59%E -4.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 13:10
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.66%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -19.15%E -5.63%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.86%EV -11.84%E -3.53%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 13:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-04-24 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%2.8%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%2.8%2026-04-23 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%2.8%2026-04-23 17:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-04-24 00:34
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%3.3%2026-04-24 03:15