مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sao Paulo v Mirassol

البداية: 2026-04-26 00:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sao Paulo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.90%2.00السعر العادل
EV -4.68%
الأفضلية -2.45%
Kelly -5.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.08%50.03%49.91%53.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.841.831.9158.82%54.44%54.64%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mirassol (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.78%4.21السعر العادل
EV +7.00%
الأفضلية +1.56%
Kelly +2.00%
النمو +0.140%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.49%23.65%23.82%25.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.004.004.5029.41%24.98%25.00%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.32%3.80السعر العادل
EV +0.004%
الأفضلية +0.001%
Kelly +0.002%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.02%26.32%26.28%28.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.553.553.8033.33%28.18%28.17%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +7.00%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.140%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +7.00%E +1.56%K +2.00%G +0.140%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 19:30
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:30
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:25
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +3.43%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:29
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -11.67%E -6.59%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +2.25%E +0.522%K +0.681%G +0.015%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -12.67%E -7.24%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:29
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -13.17%E -7.57%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:29
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 19:19
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.03%EV -7.18%E -3.86%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:19
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -14.16%E -8.23%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:25
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -14.16%E -8.23%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:29
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -15.16%E -8.92%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 19:30
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -15.16%E -8.92%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 19:29
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.96%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.02%EV -1.80%E -0.435%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 14:50
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.96%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.02%EV -1.80%E -0.435%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 14:54
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 51.96%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.02%EV -1.80%E -0.435%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:54
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.51%E -0.612%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:09
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.48%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.80%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.72%EV -1.84%E -0.493%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 13:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:09
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:09
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:19
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -7.18%E -3.86%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 19:20
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 16:54
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:54
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 13:04
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.73%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 13:09
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.11%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -6.55%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.66%EV -2.36%E -0.637%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:15
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.43%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -6.79%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:34
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 13:14
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 13:12
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:09
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 13:33
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:09
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:10
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:10
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:05
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 13:05
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:49
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.15%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:20
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 13:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -21.05%E -7.02%K -10.52%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 19:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 14:39
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 14:45
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 14:39
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.23%EV -9.67%E -5.34%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -13.21%E -3.62%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.36%EV -11.05%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 00:03
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.58%EV -10.67%E -5.96%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.32%EV -13.21%E -3.62%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-24 00:04
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.20%EV -9.17%E -5.04%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -15.59%E -4.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 13:10
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.66%EV -11.17%E -6.27%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -19.15%E -5.63%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.86%EV -11.84%E -3.53%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 13:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-04-24 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%2.8%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%2.8%2026-04-23 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%2.8%2026-04-23 17:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-04-24 00:34
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%3.3%2026-04-24 03:15