مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro

البداية: 2026-04-04 21:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sao Paulo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.09%2.38السعر العادل
EV +0.182%
الأفضلية +0.077%
Kelly +0.132%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.48%42.05%42.17%44.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.232.252.3847.62%44.79%44.44%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cruzeiro (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.02%3.57السعر العادل
EV +5.35%
الأفضلية +1.42%
Kelly +1.94%
النمو +0.104%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.81%27.93%28.00%29.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.383.403.7633.33%29.55%29.41%26.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.89%3.35السعر العادل
EV -2.26%
الأفضلية -0.693%
Kelly -0.998%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.81%30.02%29.83%33.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.033.103.2737.04%32.98%32.26%30.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -8.24%E -3.78%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.81%EV +5.35%E +1.42%K +1.94%G +0.104%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV -2.26%E -0.693%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 21:24
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.82%EV +0.182%E +0.077%K +0.132%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%EV +3.67%E +0.991%K +1.36%G +0.050%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.93%EV -11.83%E -4.01%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 21:15
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.82%EV +0.182%E +0.077%K +0.132%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%EV +3.67%E +0.991%K +1.36%G +0.050%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.93%EV -11.83%E -4.01%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 21:15
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -0.536%E -0.151%K -0.210%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -14.82%E -5.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 21:15
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -0.536%E -0.151%K -0.210%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -14.82%E -5.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 21:14
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -0.536%E -0.151%K -0.210%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -14.82%E -5.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 21:15
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -0.536%E -0.151%K -0.210%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -14.82%E -5.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 21:15
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -0.536%E -0.151%K -0.210%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -14.82%E -5.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 21:15
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -0.536%E -0.151%K -0.210%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -14.82%E -5.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 21:15
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -3.19%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -0.536%E -0.151%K -0.210%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -14.82%E -5.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 21:15
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -3.19%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -1.94%E -0.553%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 17:20
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -1.94%E -0.553%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -6.75%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:00
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -1.94%E -0.553%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -6.75%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:00
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -1.94%E -0.553%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -6.75%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:00
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.94%E -0.553%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.71%EV -7.64%E -2.47%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 16:14
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.94%E -0.553%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.35%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 21:24
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.94%E -0.553%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.36%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -1.94%E -0.553%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -16.31%E -5.83%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 21:15
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -1.94%E -0.553%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -16.31%E -5.83%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 21:15
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.19%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.88%EV -2.78%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.05%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 21:24
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -3.34%E -0.967%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -17.81%E -6.48%K -10.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 21:15
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -3.34%E -0.967%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -17.81%E -6.48%K -10.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 21:14
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.36%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 21:05
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.36%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 21:04
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -3.19%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -7.35%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 18:09
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 42.75%EV -7.82%E -3.57%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 21:24
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.35%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 21:24
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.35%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 21:24
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -17.81%E -6.48%K -10.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 21:14
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -6.13%E -2.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -17.81%E -6.48%K -10.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 21:15
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.14%EV -6.75%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 21:13
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.36%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 21:24
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.24%E -3.78%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 21:24
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.24%E -3.78%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 21:25
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 21:24
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.70%EV -6.15%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 21:24
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 21:10
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.35%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.35%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.35%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 21:04
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 21:25
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 21:25
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 21:24
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 21:09
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.35%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 21:15
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 21:04
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 21:24
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.36%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 21:19
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.36%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 21:20
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.35%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 21:15
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -11.74%E -3.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -4.36%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 21:20
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.68%EV -9.50%E -4.42%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -11.74%E -3.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 21:09
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.83%EV -10.34%E -4.85%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.47%EV -12.30%E -3.93%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 21:13
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -13.14%E -4.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -11.60%E -5.53%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -13.14%E -4.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -19.30%E -7.15%K -11.35%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-04 15:39
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.60%E -5.53%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -15.95%E -5.32%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 21:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.28%0.1%2026-04-04 21:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-04 21:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-04 21:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-04 21:24
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%2.0%2026-04-04 21:25
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-04-04 21:25