L’École des cotes

Santos v Vasco da Gama

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Santos (Local)

Prévision 45.98%2.18cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -3.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.43%45.99%45.99%47.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.012.022.1054.05%49.63%49.50%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vasco da Gama (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.51%3.77cote équitable
EV -0.328%
Avantage -0.087%
Kelly -0.119%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.55%26.50%26.58%27.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.523.533.7631.75%28.44%28.33%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.52%3.63cote équitable
EV +0.981%
Avantage +0.267%
Kelly +0.367%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.43%27.51%27.43%29.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.353.353.6734.72%29.88%29.85%27.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.28%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.79%EV -0.328%E -0.087%K -0.119%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.43%EV +0.981%E +0.267%K +0.367%G +0.004%3.1%2026-02-26 21:50
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.08%EV -3.45%E -1.64%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV -3.51%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.34%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 21:45
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.69%EV -6.21%E -3.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -3.24%E -0.889%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 21:29
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.69%EV -6.21%E -3.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -3.24%E -0.889%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 21:24
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 21:15
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 21:14
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -6.21%E -3.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.70%EV -6.43%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.09%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 21:54
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.95%EV -3.45%E -1.64%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV -1.92%E -0.519%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 21:55
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.95%EV -3.45%E -1.64%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV -1.92%E -0.519%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 21:54
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.63%EV -4.83%E -2.33%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 21:49
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 21:15
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -6.67%E -3.28%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -7.75%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -5.90%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 21:54
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.00%EV -4.37%E -2.10%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -1.92%E -0.519%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 21:22
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 21:19
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 21:10
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 21:09
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 21:30
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 21:34
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 21:35
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 21:34
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 21:34
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.05%E -4.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 21:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.05%E -4.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.05%E -4.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 21:14
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.05%E -4.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 21:10
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 21:49
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -10.35%E -5.31%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-26 21:09
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 21:55
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 21:54
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 21:54
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 21:54
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 21:55
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 21:55
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -7.13%E -3.53%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 21:44
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.05%E -4.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -3.24%E -0.889%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 21:10
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.13%E -3.53%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 21:55
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.13%E -3.53%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 21:55
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.13%E -3.53%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 21:54
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 21:43
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -7.13%E -3.53%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 21:54
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.05%E -4.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-26 21:10
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.05%E -4.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 21:54
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.05%E -4.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 21:19
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 21:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 21:49
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 21:54
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 21:54
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -9.43%E -4.79%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.58%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-26 21:54
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -12.19%E -6.38%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.58%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-26 21:55
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.72%EV -10.35%E -5.31%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.85%EV -11.99%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -10.58%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-26 21:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.77%EV -10.81%E -5.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -10.58%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-26 21:50
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.19%EV -10.81%E -5.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -16.50%E -5.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -10.58%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-26 21:49
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.10%EV -12.65%E -6.66%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.70%EV -13.05%E -3.98%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.20%EV -11.40%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-26 21:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.05%E -4.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 21:55
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -9.89%E -5.04%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-26 21:54
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -9.89%E -5.04%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-26 21:55
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.05%E -4.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-26 21:54
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.35%EV -14.94%E -8.08%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.22%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.44%EV -18.83%E -6.38%K -9.66%G +0.000%19.2%2026-02-26 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -12.19%E -6.38%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -20.76%E -7.21%K -11.04%G +0.000%17.8%2026-02-26 21:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-02-26 21:54
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.99%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-02-26 21:44