La scuola delle quote

Santos v Internacional

Inizio: 2026-03-19 00:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Santos (Casa)

Previsione 44.44%2.25quota equa
EV +4.42%
Vantaggio +1.88%
Kelly +3.28%
Crescita +0.145%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.51%44.24%44.53%47.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.102.102.3554.05%47.62%47.62%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Internacional (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.81%3.73quota equa
EV +9.67%
Vantaggio +2.36%
Kelly +3.13%
Crescita +0.303%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.73%26.93%26.77%29.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.483.504.0932.26%28.77%28.57%24.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.75%3.48quota equa
EV -2.82%
Vantaggio -0.835%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.59%28.82%28.70%30.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.193.203.3834.48%31.36%31.25%29.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57%EV -9.35%E -4.58%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.73%EV +9.67%E +2.36%K +3.13%G +0.303%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.71%EV -2.82%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 00:25
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV +1.89%E +0.498%K +0.676%G +0.013%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:25
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.96%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.92%EV +0.016%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.12%EV -4.55%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 00:20
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -0.788%E -0.213%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:25
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.13%E -0.583%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 00:25
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -2.93%E -0.810%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.46%EV -7.14%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:40
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -2.93%E -0.810%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.46%EV -7.14%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:40
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.021%E -0.009%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 00:01
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.021%E -0.009%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 00:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 00:15
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 00:25
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:00
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:21
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 00:19
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -12.31%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 00:25
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 00:25
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.47%E -0.964%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 00:23
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.82%EV -7.57%E -3.64%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -4.01%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 00:25
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.56%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 00:20
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.05%EV -4.02%E -1.86%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.11%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:55
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:00
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:00
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:00
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:15
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:15
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -3.13%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -12.31%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 00:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-19 00:25
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.80%E -2.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 00:10
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.80%E -2.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -4.02%E -1.86%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 00:03
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 00:03
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.57%EV -8.46%E -4.11%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -15.19%E -5.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-19 00:25
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.57%EV -8.46%E -4.11%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -15.19%E -5.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-19 00:25
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 23:35
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 23:35
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 00:25
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -5.80%E -2.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 00:10
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -4.91%E -2.29%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-19 00:00
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-19 00:25
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-19 00:25
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 00:25
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 00:25
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 00:01
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 00:00
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 00:00
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.85%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 23:35
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.85%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 23:38
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.19%EV -10.24%E -5.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.85%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-19 00:01
Parions Sport (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -12.91%E -6.59%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -12.85%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-19 00:05
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.31%EV -17.79%E -9.62%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.79%EV -12.85%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.90%EV -16.62%E -5.73%K -8.75%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-19 00:25
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.58%EV -12.46%E -6.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.27%EV -13.66%E -4.24%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.15%EV -10.30%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-19 00:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +4.42%E +1.88%K +3.28%G +0.145%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -14.20%E -4.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:04
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -16.88%E -5.44%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-18 23:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-03-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-03-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-03-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-03-19 00:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-03-19 00:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-03-19 00:25